04 Dec 2012
I did a brief calculation of the MDM performance over the past 10 years (16% annual return) and the last 35 years (30% annual return). That's a pretty significant difference. Is there anything in particular that explains this difference?
The last 10 years have not enjoyed the strong uptrends of the 80s or 90s. Further, the last two years have been the most challenging ... That said, such challenging periods do come to an end and new trends begin. During challenging periods, patience is a ...
22 Jun 2010
Why has the Dr K MDM systematic model done so much better over the long 35 year time frame from 1974 to 2009 compared to the last few years?
... That said, there are ways to boost your return in these challenging times. Returns can be ... performing trend-following funds whose portfolio managers have been celebrated in Jack Schwager's Market Wizards books, Michael Covel's book Trend Following, and ...
13 Jan 2011
I mainly have only enough time for the MDM. In general it looks like the MDM has its own safeguards with really the only bad year in 2007 where it underperformed-do you have any insights on that year?
... the last 35 years but in entirely different eras such as the 1920s and 1930s. That said, the model's its inherent logic has never changed. MDM ...
31 Oct 2010
Could you briefly explain, for the sake of education, if there is a significant difference in the gap up of FFIV and the gap up of LVS (as of October 28, 2010)?
Q: Could you briefly explain, for the sake of education, if there is a significant difference in the gap up of FFIV and the gap up ... this as well. A: FFIV gap up occurred after a brief consolidation whereas LVS occurred after an uptrend. While both qualify ...
28 Mar 2023
How has the model performance vs. buy & hold over the last few years in this QE to no-QE environment?
... environment. In consequence, the MDM's buy and sell signals using TECL as a benchmark have resulted in a return of about 4.94x ... a sell signal for much of the year, thus one's risk was substantially mitigated by profiting in a year such as 2022.
31 Aug 2010
For the leveraged ETFs, I have read over the past year that these are tricky to use over the long term since they reset daily and have some tracking problems.
... s, I have read over the past year that these are tricky to use over the long term since they reset daily and ... to a sell signal on 4/19/10. TNA is 3x the Russell 2000 index ... (as opposed to earlier times when the returns would be less than 3x the Russell ...
23 Sep 2010
If today's volume in a stock exceeds the previous 10 days and the price of the stock closes above the 10 day today, would this stock be considered a valid continuation Pocket Pivot?
If volume today exceeds the largest down volume day over the past 10 days, it would be a pocket pivot. The question is ...
21 Jun 2011
2011 has been [June 21, 2011 as of this writing] the most frustrating market ever in my 10+ years of trading. When will things get easier?
... currents of quantitative easing that prop the markets, and headline news (Japan disaster, European debt issues ... a new trend emerges (and it always does), you are there to jump on board. The ... as on September 1, 2010 when the MDM went to a buy signal at the ...
29 Nov 2011
How has Dr K MDM systematic model done against some of the best timing sites on the internet?
... Following is the total returns (not annualized) over the last five years as of June ... parameters, Dr. K MDM’s +33.4%/yr return since July 1974 is ... difference in performance and accounts for the years in which he has achieved triple digit percentage returns ...
03 May 2012
Some market timing sites show huge returns. What should I watch out for?
... performed on an annualized basis since Jan 2005? Most all sites fall short here. The past few years ... each year was significantly less. However, there was ... returns based on over-fitting their past data. I highly recommend Robert Koppel’s book "Bulls, Bears, and ...