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Frequently Asked Questions

Market Lab Report
I'm aware of people always saying that trading systems will cease to work.

Q: I'm aware of people always saying that trading systems will cease to work. With the advent of high frequency trading, many day traders have been knocked out of the ring. The markets were never predictable but they are MUCH LESS predictable than ever, and getting worse. Traders need to be weeded out.

 

A: That has always been the case which is why black box systems have a limited life-span. Trading systems must continue to evolve with changing markets. The primary reason Market Direction Model (MDM) continues to outperform in this age of quantitative easing is because it spotted the aberration in early 2009 due to QE, realized it was a material change in the way markets traded, and adapted. Then 2011 came along as the most trendless year in the history of the NASDAQ Composite but it did not throw MDM which continued to outperform the major market averages. All that is to say we must remain ever-vigilant and never grow complacent nor lose focus, regardless of how much success or failure comes our way.


Published: Jul 25 2012