PPR - How to handle DDD
Three D Systems (DDD) and it's brother Stratasys (SSYS) both sold off on huge volume today on no apparent news at that time. Later in the day, some speculated it had to do with a negative article seen on seekingalpha.com about DDD. But the viewership to this article is small so may not have been the reason for the selloff in DDD.
No matter. The first rule of investing is to always obey your sell stops. If you planned on selling DDD on the basis of a violation of a moving average, then you might still own DDD even after today's big selloff. You might have kept it knowing that DDD can be quite volatile, so is subject to deep swings, especially after its big run up.
Recent climax action in DDD is not indicative of a climax top since stocks that exhibit such tops usually have been up hundreds of percents for many months. DDD, on the other hand, broke out of its base in April 2012, then more than doubled from there. 9 months and a 100%+ gain does not qualify as a climax top. It could, however, qualify as an intermediate top.
If it breaks below today's low in subsequent trading days, it then has violated its 10-day moving average. If you are using the 7-week rule, then you would sell on this violation, since DDD has obeyed its 10-day moving average for 7 weeks (this is the 8th wekk). That said, you might have sold part or all of your position based on today's big volume down day action in DDD. Using the violation of a moving average as your sell stop is fine, but you might want to sell sooner, especially if the stock is showing abnormal price/volume action. This comes down to your time frame, risk tolerance levels, and personal sell rules on such action.
This information is provided by Virtue of Selfish Investing, LLC (VoSI) is issued solely for informational purposes and does not constitute an offer to sell or a solicitation of an offer to buy securities. Information contained herein is based on sources which we believe to be reliable but is not guaranteed by us as being accurate and does not purport to be a complete statement or summary of available data. VoSI reports are intended to alert VoSI members to technical developments in certain securities that may or may not be actionable, only, and are not intended as recommendations. Past performance is not a guarantee, nor is it necessarily indicative, of future results. Opinions expressed herein are statements of our judgment as of the publication date and are subject to change without notice. Entities including but not limited to VoSI, its members, officers, directors, employees, customers, agents, and affiliates may have a position, long or short, in the securities referred to herein, and/or other related securities, and may increase or decrease such position or take a contra position. Additional information is available upon written request. This publication is for clients of Virtue of Selfish Investing, LLC. Reproduction without written permission is strictly prohibited and will be prosecuted to the full extent of the law. ©2016 Virtue of Selfish Investing, LLC. All rights reserved.