MDM will resume its BUY signal.
Yesterday, the Market Direction Model switched from **Buy to Cash** near the close.
This move was driven by a rising number of distribution days and increasing signs of institutional selling pressure. The NASDAQ Composite had just violated its 50-dma on June 24 as well. However, we made the change with full awareness that Micron (MU) would report earnings shortly after the bell.
It was a deliberate risk-management decision. We recognized that:
- A disappointing MU report would likely trigger further selling, reinforcing the distribution signals and validating our shift to Cash.
- A strong (or monster) beat from MU could spark a sharp rebound and potentially reset the short-term trend.
The model preferred to step aside into Cash rather than remain exposed into this high-impact event while the underlying technicals were deteriorating.
Suggested ETFs (Note: Many members buy the standard ETFs or their preferred ETFs. This list serves as a guide as to which ETFs we think may outperform, but the key point is to be on the right side of the market regardless of which ETF or ETFs one chooses.)
1-times
SPY (S&P 500)
QQQ (NASDAQ-100)
2-times
SSO (S&P 500)
QLD (NASDAQ-100)
3-times
UPRO (S&P 500)
TQQQ (NASDAQ-100)
TECL (Direxion Trust Technology)
NOTE: This is a suggested list. Investors may wish to become acquainted with the full range of available ETFs, and should make an effort to understand how these ETFs are created and what their components are, as well as being aware of the downside risks involved, especially with leveraged ETFs. Certain ETFs may be more appropriate depending on one's risk tolerance levels. Typing in keyword 'ETF' into the FAQ keyword search bar or going here https://www.virtueofselfishinvesting.com/faqs/search?p=1&q=etf and visiting this site https://etfdb.com/ can be instructive.