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Market Timing Results

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Rolling 12-month MDM Performance
TECL: +64% (as of 23 Nov 2017)
QQQ: +15% (as of 23 Nov 2017)
NASDAQ Composite Market Direction Model
Trading Return 2000 - 2016
+738.4%*
NASDAQ Composite Buy and Hold Return 2000 - 2016 +32.3%
Index Market Direction Model Trading Return
2000 - 2016
Buy-and-Hold Return
2000 - 2016
NASDAQ Composite +738.4%* +32.3%
* conservative approach using NO leverage

Note: All data shown below are delayed by up to two months for non-members. Some signals that are showing big profits may have the time delay removed to show non-members the success of the current signal. The risk in entering such a position late is not recommended. New members should wait until either model switches signals before buying a position.

Members receive emails in real-time whenever either of the models switch signals.

Getting started is as easy as 1, 2, 3:
  1. You will receive an email whenever the model switches signals.
  2. Choose from the list of suggested ETFs. Buy the ETF.
  3. Await the next change in signal.
Timing Model profit/loss on TECL (formerly - 3x ETF Direxion Tech Bull - Annualized return March 2009 - present: +23.13 % / year [100% long TECL on buy signal, 100% short TECL on sell signal, 100% cash on neutral signal]. This is our benchmark 3x ETF. It is up +64% over the last 12 months (as of 23 Nov 2017).
DateSignal% gain / loss$1 becomes
09-08-2017Buy31.385.86 *
08-21-2017Cash4.46
08-18-2017Buy-34.46
08-17-2017Cash4.60
08-16-2017Buy-3.824.60
08-10-2017Cash4.78
07-11-2017Buy9.924.78
06-29-2017Cash4.35
06-15-2017Buy-5.234.35
06-14-2017Cash4.59
04-25-2017Buy6.814.59
04-20-2017Cash4.30
04-18-2017Sell-3.614.30
01-31-2017Buy16.684.46
01-30-2017Cash3.82
12-08-2016Buy13.33.82
12-01-2016Cash3.37
11-09-2016Buy-5.373.37
11-09-2016Cash3.56
10-21-2016Sell3.393.56
10-13-2016Cash3.44
09-21-2016Buy-2.623.44
09-14-2016Cash3.53
07-15-2016Buy10.353.53
07-11-2016Cash3.20
07-08-2016Sell-2.443.20
06-27-2016Cash3.28
06-20-2016Buy-9.813.28
06-13-2016Sell0.383.64
05-24-2016Buy1.93.63
05-03-2016Sell-8.123.56
04-29-2016Cash3.88
04-27-2016Buy-4.323.88
04-18-2016Cash4.05
03-01-2016Buy16.924.05
03-01-2016Cash3.46
02-26-2016Sell-5.733.46
02-26-2016Cash3.67
02-23-2016Sell-5.923.67
02-11-2016Cash3.90
02-02-2016Sell14.823.90
01-21-2016Cash3.40
01-20-2016Buy-0.253.40
01-15-2016Cash3.41
01-14-2016Buy-1.693.41
12-17-2015Cash3.47
12-17-2015Buy-4.473.47
12-15-2015Cash3.63
10-23-2015Buy-2.23.63
10-08-2015Cash3.71
09-24-2015Sell-14.413.71
09-03-2015Cash4.33
08-31-2015Sell3.854.33
08-18-2015Cash4.17
08-13-2015Buy0.144.17
08-03-2015Cash4.16
07-13-2015Buy3.394.16
07-02-2015Cash4.02
05-18-2015Buy-11.944.02
05-12-2015Cash4.56
05-06-2015Sell-0.574.56
04-29-2015Buy-6.854.59
04-28-2015Sell-0.284.93
04-09-2015Buy10.984.94
03-27-2015Cash4.45
03-18-2015Buy-6.94.45
03-11-2015Cash4.78
02-12-2015Buy-5.494.78
01-30-2015Cash5.06
01-29-2015Sell-3.155.06
01-23-2015Cash5.22
01-22-2015Sell-6.375.22
01-20-2015Cash5.57
01-13-2015Sell0.335.57
01-08-2015Buy-1.915.55
01-02-2015Sell2.455.66
01-02-2015Cash5.52
12-18-2014Buy0.945.52
12-11-2014Cash5.47
10-24-2014Buy18.735.47
10-22-2014Sell-2.34.61
10-20-2014Buy9.944.72
10-17-2014Sell1.294.29
10-10-2014Cash4.24
10-08-2014Buy-6.34.24
10-06-2014Sell1.024.52
10-02-2014Buy3.274.47
09-26-2014Cash4.33
09-25-2014Buy-4.274.33
09-22-2014Sell-0.664.52
09-16-2014Buy0.224.55
09-15-2014Sell-1.184.54
09-10-2014Cash4.59
09-05-2014Buy-0.534.59
09-03-2014Cash4.61
08-20-2014Buy0.894.61
08-15-2014Cash4.57
08-14-2014Buy-0.344.57
07-31-2014Cash4.59
07-23-2014Buy-3.524.59
07-10-2014Cash4.76
05-13-2014Buy13.934.76
04-09-2014Sell-5.274.18
04-07-2014Cash4.41
04-04-2014Buy-8.994.41
03-24-2014Cash4.85
02-12-2014Buy4.574.85
02-03-2014Sell-10.014.64
10-17-2013Buy20.275.16
10-07-2013Cash4.29
09-09-2013Buy0.674.29
08-27-2013Cash4.26
08-26-2013Buy-5.694.26
08-20-2013Sell-3.034.52
08-15-2013Cash4.66
08-13-2013Buy-3.424.66
08-08-2013Cash4.82
07-10-2013Buy7.884.82
07-09-2013Cash4.47
07-05-2013Sell-0.934.47
06-24-2013Cash4.51
06-18-2013Buy-14.164.51
05-23-2013Cash5.25
04-24-2013Buy17.35.25
04-24-2013Cash4.48
04-23-2013Sell1.574.48
04-10-2013Buy-3.334.41
04-03-2013Cash4.56
03-05-2013Buy-1.694.56
03-05-2013Cash4.64
02-25-2013Sell-6.24.64
12-17-2012Buy3.624.95
12-13-2012Cash4.78
12-11-2012Buy-2.44.78
11-29-2012Cash4.90
11-07-2012Sell-2.644.90
11-01-2012Cash5.03
10-18-2012Sell7.745.03
10-15-2012Cash4.67
08-14-2012Buy-3.214.67
08-07-2012Cash4.82
08-02-2012Sell-10.494.82
07-26-2012Buy3.745.38
07-25-2012Cash5.19
07-25-2012Buy-0.975.19
07-18-2012Cash5.24
07-11-2012Sell-7.375.24
07-11-2012Cash5.66
06-29-2012Buy-4.365.66
06-29-2012Cash5.92
06-25-2012Sell-2.175.92
06-21-2012Cash6.05
06-20-2012Buy-6.766.05
06-14-2012Cash6.49
06-07-2012Sell3.446.49
06-05-2012Cash6.27
05-09-2012Sell18.836.27
05-06-2012Cash5.28
04-26-2012Buy-11.35.28
04-20-2012Cash5.95
04-19-2012Sell1.135.95
04-12-2012Cash5.88
04-10-2012Sell-2.685.88
04-04-2012Cash6.04
03-13-2012Buy3.66.04
03-08-2012Cash5.83
03-06-2012Sell-6.695.83
01-25-2012Buy16.166.25
12-27-2011Cash5.38
12-18-2011Sell-5.645.38
12-14-2011Cash5.70
12-02-2011Buy-8.475.70
11-11-2011Cash6.23
11-10-2011Sell-7.776.23
11-01-2011Cash6.75
10-27-2011Buy-3.786.75
10-20-2011Cash7.01
10-19-2011Buy-6.477.01
10-07-2011Cash7.49
10-05-2011Buy11.187.49
08-31-2011Sell10.696.74
08-31-2011Cash6.09
08-26-2011Buy8.236.09
08-23-2011Cash5.63
08-16-2011Sell14.745.63
08-11-2011Cash4.91
08-02-2011Sell29.924.91
07-27-2011Cash3.78
07-13-2011Buy1.233.78
07-12-2011Cash3.73
07-11-2011Buy-2.393.73
06-27-2011Cash3.82
06-22-2011Sell-2.323.82
06-21-2011Buy-13.91
05-31-2011Cash3.95
05-05-2011Sell0.823.95
03-24-2011Buy4.433.92
03-16-2011Cash3.75
03-15-2011Buy-1.673.75
03-08-2011Sell12.783.81
03-03-2011Buy-7.623.38
02-23-2011Cash3.66
02-01-2011Buy-3.663.66
01-31-2011Sell-8.343.80
01-20-2011Cash4.15
01-12-2011Buy3.84.15
12-10-2010Cash4.00
12-08-2010Sell-2.784.00
12-07-2010Buy-2.794.11
12-01-2010Cash4.23
11-16-2010Sell-8.024.23
09-01-2010Buy46.524.60
08-11-2010Sell12.093.14
07-07-2010Cash2.80
06-30-2010Sell-8.572.80
06-07-2010Cash3.06
05-25-2010Buy-1.73.06
04-28-2010Sell27.613.11
04-22-2010Cash2.44
04-19-2010Sell-3.022.44
03-01-2010Buy20.752.52
02-18-2010Cash2.09
01-27-2010Sell-1.072.09
01-07-2010Cash2.11
01-04-2010Buy-3.092.11
12-21-2009Cash2.18
12-17-2009Sell-3.262.18
12-03-2009Cash2.25
11-19-2009Sell-1.142.25
11-09-2009Buy4.412.28
10-21-2009Sell-5.532.18
07-13-2009Buy75.112.31
07-07-2009Sell-4.611.32
06-19-2009Cash1.38
06-17-2009Sell-4.611.38
06-01-2009Buy-2.981.45
05-29-2009Cash1.49
05-28-2009Sell-8.381.49
03-12-2009Buy62.811.63
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* As of 11-08-2017 (intraday or end of day, depending)
Market Direction Model (MDM) profit/loss on NASDAQ Composite - Annualized return July 1974 - present: +27.45 % / year [100% long Nasdaq Composite on buy signal, 100% short Nasdaq Composite on sell signal, 100% cash on neutral signal].
DateSignal% gain / loss$1 becomes
09-08-2017Buy6.2535,380.02 *
08-21-2017Cash33,298.27
08-18-2017Buy-0.9133,298.27
08-17-2017Cash33,603.45
08-16-2017Buy-1.3333,603.45
08-10-2017Cash34,055.59
07-11-2017Buy1.7934,055.59
06-29-2017Cash33,456.13
06-15-2017Buy-1.0333,456.13
06-14-2017Cash33,802.95
04-25-2017Buy2.5633,802.95
04-20-2017Cash32,958.48
04-18-2017Sell-1.4632,958.48
01-31-2017Buy4.0533,447.07
01-30-2017Cash32,144.38
12-08-2016Buy3.5832,144.38
12-01-2016Cash31,032.37
11-09-2016Buy0.2431,032.37
11-09-2016Cash30,959.56
10-21-2016Sell0.830,959.56
10-13-2016Cash30,715.24
09-21-2016Buy-1.5630,715.24
09-14-2016Cash31,200.74
07-15-2016Buy2.5331,200.74
07-11-2016Cash30,430.13
07-08-2016Sell-0.8430,430.13
06-27-2016Cash30,687.76
06-20-2016Buy-4.0330,687.76
06-13-2016Sell0.1731,975.75
05-24-2016Buy0.4531,921.26
05-03-2016Sell-1.3731,776.95
04-29-2016Cash32,219.17
04-27-2016Buy-0.9832,219.17
04-18-2016Cash32,537.96
03-01-2016Buy5.2532,537.96
03-01-2016Cash30,915.08
02-26-2016Sell-1.530,915.08
02-26-2016Cash31,385.70
02-23-2016Sell-2.1431,385.70
02-11-2016Cash32,072.95
02-02-2016Sell6.0632,072.95
01-21-2016Cash30,240.86
01-20-2016Buy-0.3430,240.86
01-15-2016Cash30,345.54
01-14-2016Buy-1.8930,345.54
12-17-2015Cash30,931.53
12-17-2015Buy-1.3530,931.53
12-15-2015Cash31,353.97
10-23-2015Buy-0.6631,353.97
10-08-2015Cash31,562.34
09-24-2015Sell-2.1231,562.34
09-03-2015Cash32,246.59
08-31-2015Sell0.8832,246.59
08-18-2015Cash31,966.39
08-13-2015Buy0.6231,966.39
08-03-2015Cash31,769.96
07-13-2015Buy1.2531,769.96
07-02-2015Cash31,378.57
05-18-2015Buy-1.5731,378.57
05-12-2015Cash31,879.47
05-06-2015Sell-0.6931,879.47
04-29-2015Buy-2.3932,099.39
04-28-2015Sell0.2932,884.85
04-09-2015Buy1.9132,790.27
03-27-2015Cash32,176.71
03-18-2015Buy-1.9132,176.71
03-11-2015Cash32,802.98
02-12-2015Buy-0.0332,802.98
01-30-2015Cash32,812.71
01-29-2015Sell-1.0832,812.71
01-23-2015Cash33,171.62
01-22-2015Sell-2.3833,171.62
01-20-2015Cash33,979.93
01-13-2015Sell-0.2533,979.93
01-08-2015Buy-1.134,066.42
01-02-2015Sell0.1934,444.56
01-02-2015Cash34,380.54
12-18-2014Buy-0.0134,380.54
12-11-2014Cash34,384.48
10-24-2014Buy6.134,384.48
10-22-2014Sell-1.1232,408.76
10-20-2014Buy3.1832,775.57
10-17-2014Sell-0.0731,764.16
10-10-2014Cash31,784.90
10-08-2014Buy-2.4731,784.90
10-06-2014Sell0.5332,590.50
10-02-2014Buy1.0632,419.33
09-26-2014Cash32,079.37
09-25-2014Buy-1.3232,079.37
09-22-2014Sell-0.5532,507.62
09-16-2014Buy-0.4432,688.73
09-15-2014Sell-0.2832,833.50
09-10-2014Cash32,926.68
09-05-2014Buy-0.5232,926.68
09-03-2014Cash33,097.16
08-20-2014Buy0.9333,097.16
08-15-2014Cash32,790.71
08-14-2014Buy0.1732,790.71
07-31-2014Cash32,734.59
07-23-2014Buy-1.2732,734.59
07-10-2014Cash33,157.28
05-13-2014Buy5.0433,157.28
04-09-2014Sell-0.3531,566.47
04-07-2014Cash31,678.26
04-04-2014Buy-3.5931,678.26
03-24-2014Cash32,857.41
02-12-2014Buy0.5132,857.41
02-03-2014Sell-3.2732,691.57
10-17-2013Buy6.333,797.42
10-07-2013Cash31,792.88
09-09-2013Buy1.9731,792.88
08-27-2013Cash31,179.27
08-26-2013Buy-1.9431,179.27
08-20-2013Sell-1.9731,797.00
08-15-2013Cash32,435.10
08-13-2013Buy-1.4132,435.10
08-08-2013Cash32,899.89
07-10-2013Buy4.5132,899.89
07-09-2013Cash31,480.02
07-05-2013Sell-1.0231,480.02
06-24-2013Cash31,803.70
06-18-2013Buy-4.3531,803.70
05-23-2013Cash33,251.22
04-24-2013Buy4.9333,251.22
04-24-2013Cash31,687.98
04-23-2013Sell0.1631,687.98
04-10-2013Buy0.5631,636.53
04-03-2013Cash31,461.67
03-05-2013Buy-0.431,461.67
03-05-2013Cash31,588.45
02-25-2013Sell-2.4631,588.45
12-17-2012Buy3.7732,385.44
12-13-2012Cash31,209.86
12-11-2012Buy-0.6131,209.86
11-29-2012Cash31,402.81
11-07-2012Sell-1.2831,402.81
11-01-2012Cash31,811.18
10-18-2012Sell2.2131,811.18
10-15-2012Cash31,123.75
08-14-2012Buy0.5231,123.75
08-07-2012Cash30,962.86
08-02-2012Sell-3.8230,962.86
07-26-2012Buy0.1332,192.65
07-25-2012Cash32,149.81
07-25-2012Buy-0.4132,149.81
07-18-2012Cash32,281.68
07-11-2012Sell-2.2432,281.68
07-11-2012Cash33,022.45
06-29-2012Buy-1.0333,022.45
06-29-2012Cash33,365.51
06-25-2012Sell-1.6333,365.51
06-21-2012Cash33,917.02
06-20-2012Buy-2.0433,917.02
06-14-2012Cash34,622.34
06-07-2012Sell0.2434,622.34
06-05-2012Cash34,539.37
05-09-2012Sell5.7134,539.37
05-06-2012Cash32,673.96
04-26-2012Buy-2.9432,673.96
04-20-2012Cash33,665.27
04-19-2012Sell0.0733,665.27
04-12-2012Cash33,643.05
04-10-2012Sell-1.2833,643.05
04-04-2012Cash34,080.77
03-13-2012Buy0.534,080.77
03-08-2012Cash33,912.10
03-06-2012Sell-2.2733,912.10
01-25-2012Buy3.634,701.45
12-27-2011Cash33,496.29
12-18-2011Sell-2.3833,496.29
12-14-2011Cash34,312.46
12-02-2011Buy-3.1234,312.46
11-11-2011Cash35,415.75
11-10-2011Sell-2.4935,415.75
11-01-2011Cash36,320.28
10-27-2011Buy-1.6436,320.28
10-20-2011Cash36,924.29
10-19-2011Buy-2.3936,924.29
10-07-2011Cash37,830.23
10-05-2011Buy2.9437,830.23
08-31-2011Sell6.1236,750.11
08-31-2011Cash34,629.63
08-26-2011Buy3.2834,629.63
08-23-2011Cash33,528.44
08-16-2011Sell3.2633,528.44
08-11-2011Cash32,468.52
08-02-2011Sell11.6532,468.52
07-27-2011Cash29,081.65
07-13-2011Buy-1.4329,081.65
07-12-2011Cash29,502.06
07-11-2011Buy-0.9729,502.06
06-27-2011Cash29,791.86
06-22-2011Sell-0.8229,791.86
06-21-2011Buy-0.1130,039.19
05-31-2011Cash30,072.92
05-05-2011Sell-0.9730,072.92
03-24-2011Buy2.5430,368.17
03-16-2011Cash29,615.78
03-15-2011Buy-0.6129,615.78
03-08-2011Sell3.6529,796.85
03-03-2011Buy-2.3628,747.03
02-23-2011Cash29,440.67
02-01-2011Buy-0.0629,440.67
01-31-2011Sell-2.5229,457.36
01-20-2011Cash30,217.82
01-12-2011Buy0.3130,217.82
12-10-2010Cash30,123.24
12-08-2010Sell-1.1230,123.24
12-07-2010Buy-1.0430,463.55
12-01-2010Cash30,782.15
11-16-2010Sell-3.1230,782.15
09-01-2010Buy13.9731,773.00
08-11-2010Sell3.0227,878.63
07-07-2010Cash27,060.50
06-30-2010Sell-1.5627,060.50
06-07-2010Cash27,488.18
05-25-2010Buy0.0627,488.18
04-28-2010Sell10.3127,471.41
04-22-2010Cash24,904.66
04-19-2010Sell-1.9924,904.66
03-01-2010Buy8.5125,409.34
02-18-2010Cash23,417.07
01-27-2010Sell-1.5323,417.07
01-07-2010Cash23,781.03
01-04-2010Buy-0.6723,781.03
12-21-2009Cash23,940.95
12-17-2009Sell-0.9123,940.95
12-03-2009Cash24,160.89
11-19-2009Sell-1.1324,160.89
11-09-2009Buy1.0524,435.84
10-21-2009Sell-0.1424,183.12
07-13-2009Buy19.9524,216.90
07-07-2009Sell-1.3120,188.63
06-19-2009Cash20,455.58
06-17-2009Sell-1.9820,455.58
06-01-2009Buy-1.8120,869.36
05-29-2009Cash21,254.09
05-28-2009Sell-2.2721,254.09
03-12-2009Buy21.2421,748.46
03-12-2009Cash17,938.17
02-18-2009Sell2.8417,938.17
01-30-2009Cash17,442.59
01-28-2009Buy-3.4317,442.59
01-20-2009Cash18,061.52
12-02-2008Buy018,061.52
11-12-2008Sell7.2218,061.52
10-28-2008Buy-5.2616,844.56
10-23-2008Sell-3.9217,779.11
10-16-2008Buy-7.618,504.26
10-15-2008Sell220,025.68
10-10-2008Cash19,632.54
09-04-2008Sell28.8119,632.54
07-29-2008Buy-0.1115,241.61
06-26-2008Sell1.3815,258.71
06-13-2008Cash15,050.75
06-12-2008Sell-2.1815,050.75
03-20-2008Buy6.0215,386.24
03-03-2008Sell0.314,512.81
02-15-2008Cash14,469.43
02-13-2008Buy-2.2714,469.43
02-05-2008Cash14,805.53
01-31-2008Buy-3.1914,805.53
01-03-2008Sell8.0115,293.82
01-02-2008Cash14,160.06
12-21-2007Buy-1.914,160.06
12-17-2007Cash14,434.01
12-05-2007Buy-1.7414,434.01
11-09-2007Sell-0.6914,690.21
11-07-2007Cash14,792.44
11-06-2007Buy-1.5914,792.44
11-01-2007Cash15,031.34
10-31-2007Buy-1.5215,031.34
10-26-2007Cash15,263.57
10-22-2007Sell-2.7215,263.57
10-17-2007Cash15,690.81
10-17-2007Sell-0.8115,690.81
08-29-2007Buy7.6615,818.71
07-24-2007Sell4.1714,693.44
07-12-2007Buy-114,105.41
07-03-2007Cash14,248.33
06-21-2007Sell-1.3414,248.33
06-15-2007Cash14,442.22
06-06-2007Sell-0.7114,442.22
05-31-2007Cash14,544.79
05-24-2007Sell-0.9614,544.79
05-18-2007Cash14,685.53
05-16-2007Sell-1.3414,685.53
05-02-2007Cash14,885.47
05-01-2007Sell-1.3314,885.47
03-29-2007Cash15,086.83
03-21-2007Buy-2.0615,086.83
02-15-2007Cash15,404.15
02-12-2007Sell-1.7615,404.15
01-25-2007Cash15,679.67
01-24-2007Buy-1.315,679.67
12-29-2006Cash15,885.79
12-22-2006Sell-1.0115,885.79
08-15-2006Buy13.916,047.07
07-10-2006Sell0.5514,089.29
06-29-2006Buy-2.1914,012.85
06-27-2006Cash14,327.16
06-21-2006Buy-1.5914,327.16
05-10-2006Sell8.2714,559.03
04-27-2006Cash13,447.13
04-27-2006Sell-0.7313,447.13
04-18-2006Buy-1.4613,545.74
04-18-2006Cash13,747.04
04-17-2006Sell-1.6313,747.04
03-06-2006Cash13,975.30
03-01-2006Buy-1.4413,975.30
02-03-2006Sell-1.6414,179.30
01-04-2006Cash14,415.41
12-17-2005Sell-0.5414,415.41
10-19-2005Buy7.6814,493.94
09-14-2005Sell3.5413,460.13
07-08-2005Buy2.6412,999.59
07-05-2005Cash12,664.98
07-01-2005Sell-0.9712,664.98
04-29-2005Buy712,788.50
03-10-2005Sell6.7311,951.44
03-07-2005Cash11,198.20
03-03-2005Sell-1.3111,198.20
02-09-2005Cash11,346.57
02-04-2005Buy-1.4511,346.57
01-04-2005Sell2.8911,514.10
12-23-2004Cash11,190.98
12-16-2004Sell-1.2111,190.98
12-14-2004Cash11,328.16
12-08-2004Sell-2.1911,328.16
10-01-2004Buy8.8811,582.31
08-31-2004Cash10,638.02
08-18-2004Buy010,638.02
07-08-2004Sell5.3310,638.02
06-23-2004Cash10,099.60
06-10-2004Sell-1.4610,099.60
05-25-2004Buy1.2910,249.49
04-28-2004Sell3.1110,119.18
04-22-2004Cash9,814.24
04-16-2004Sell-2.149,814.24
03-29-2004Buy-0.1710,029.02
01-29-2004Sell3.8910,045.66
12-18-2003Buy5.999,669.71
12-03-2003Sell0.219,123.51
12-03-2003Cash9,104.47
12-01-2003Buy-1.369,104.47
12-01-2003Cash9,229.70
11-14-2003Sell-0.729,229.70
08-18-2003Buy12.479,296.18
08-18-2003Cash8,265.45
08-06-2003Sell-2.398,265.45
03-17-2003Buy20.038,467.95
03-17-2003Cash7,054.94
01-25-2003Sell-3.147,054.94
01-17-2003Cash7,283.75
01-06-2003Buy-2.187,283.75
01-02-2003Cash7,446.19
12-31-2002Sell-1.787,446.19
10-15-2002Buy3.717,581.33
09-18-2002Sell-1.847,309.92
09-05-2002Cash7,446.87
08-06-2002Buy07,446.87
08-02-2002Cash7,446.87
07-29-2002Buy-5.467,446.87
05-29-2002Sell18.237,877.01
05-22-2002Cash6,662.24
05-14-2002Buy-3.876,662.24
04-24-2002Sell0.296,930.34
04-03-2002Cash6,910.58
03-04-2002Buy06,910.58
01-15-2002Sell6.116,910.58
01-14-2002Cash6,512.76
01-03-2002Buy-3.176,512.76
01-03-2002Cash6,725.99
01-02-2002Sell-1.996,725.99
10-03-2001Buy23.386,862.40
10-01-2001Cash5,562.01
09-28-2001Buy-2.155,562.01
08-15-2001Sell23.585,684.19
07-18-2001Cash4,599.60
07-17-2001Buy-2.94,599.60
07-12-2001Cash4,737.11
07-11-2001Sell-4.334,737.11
07-06-2001Cash4,951.58
06-28-2001Buy-3.064,951.58
06-19-2001Cash5,107.82
06-15-2001Sell-2.815,107.82
04-10-2001Buy7.585,255.54
03-29-2001Sell0.054,885.44
03-28-2001Cash4,883.07
03-27-2001Buy-3.34,883.07
02-28-2001Sell9.795,049.51
02-26-2001Cash4,599.45
02-23-2001Sell-4.844,599.45
02-05-2001Cash4,833.18
01-03-2001Buy04,833.18
12-14-2000Sell6.354,833.18
12-13-2000Cash4,544.52
12-08-2000Buy-5.644,544.52
11-10-2000Sell5.514,815.94
11-09-2000Cash4,564.49
10-31-2000Buy-4.334,564.49
09-08-2000Sell16.054,771.26
08-17-2000Buy1.844,111.21
08-17-2000Cash4,037.11
08-10-2000Sell-2.244,037.11
06-29-2000Cash4,129.69
06-28-2000Buy-1.734,129.69
06-19-2000Cash4,202.22
06-13-2000Sell-3.34,202.22
05-30-2000Buy8.934,345.46
05-19-2000Sell1.353,989.32
05-18-2000Cash3,936.35
05-16-2000Buy-2.953,936.35
05-09-2000Sell-3.474,056.15
05-09-2000Cash4,202.12
04-25-2000Buy-3.194,202.12
04-03-2000Sell14.84,340.49
10-28-1999Buy51.53,780.88
10-14-1999Sell-3.132,495.59
08-13-1999Buy5.682,576.11
08-05-1999Cash2,437.63
06-16-1999Buy02,437.63
06-14-1999Cash2,437.63
06-04-1999Buy-2.382,437.63
04-30-1999Cash2,497.08
04-30-1999Sell-2.092,497.08
04-28-1999Cash2,550.47
04-26-1999Buy-2.322,550.47
04-26-1999Cash2,610.92
04-15-1999Sell-4.992,610.92
03-25-1999Buy2.972,748.18
03-23-1999Sell-1.662,668.96
03-08-1999Buy-0.072,713.95
03-05-1999Cash2,715.89
03-01-1999Sell-2.182,715.89
02-22-1999Buy-2.772,776.41
02-10-1999Sell-1.352,855.45
12-18-1998Buy10.772,894.56
12-18-1998Cash2,613.16
12-11-1998Sell-2.252,613.16
10-14-1998Buy30.812,673.18
10-07-1998Sell-2.692,043.58
10-02-1998Cash2,100.08
09-08-1998Buy02,100.08
08-26-1998Sell5.972,100.08
08-21-1998Cash1,981.71
08-18-1998Buy-21,981.71
08-01-1998Sell0.892,022.13
06-17-1998Buy5.372,004.35
05-30-1998Sell0.11,902.28
01-28-1998Buy10.381,900.47
01-26-1998Cash1,721.69
01-20-1998Buy-1.711,721.69
01-09-1998Cash1,751.72
12-29-1997Buy-1.71,751.72
12-11-1997Cash1,781.94
11-13-1997Buy01,781.94
10-17-1997Sell7.841,781.94
04-22-1997Buy39.511,652.37
02-28-1997Sell7.611,184.39
02-25-1997Cash1,100.65
02-24-1997Sell-1.181,100.65
01-03-1997Buy1.631,113.78
12-11-1996Sell0.121,095.95
10-31-1996Buy7.421,094.68
10-18-1996Sell1.641,019.02
08-01-1996Buy13.021,002.56
06-13-1996Sell10.08887.08
04-16-1996Buy8.63805.87
03-19-1996Cash741.85
02-29-1996Sell-0.82741.85
01-16-1996Buy11.06748.00
12-06-1995Sell6.4673.52
11-28-1995Buy1.33632.99
11-07-1995Cash624.69
11-02-1995Buy-1.59624.69
10-26-1995Cash634.78
10-17-1995Buy-1.61634.78
10-02-1995Sell0.46645.19
12-14-1994Buy43.34642.25
11-03-1994Sell5.89448.05
10-28-1994Buy-0.65423.12
10-28-1994Cash425.89
10-18-1994Sell-1.34425.89
09-30-1994Cash431.67
09-26-1994Sell-0.77431.67
07-13-1994Buy5.18435.00
07-13-1994Cash413.57
06-24-1994Sell-2.02413.57
06-21-1994Cash422.08
05-17-1994Buy0422.08
05-09-1994Sell2.53422.08
04-21-1994Buy1.56411.67
03-24-1994Sell9.56405.33
03-16-1994Cash369.97
02-07-1994Sell-2.7369.97
12-29-1993Cash380.23
12-10-1993Sell-0.99380.23
12-01-1993Buy-0.45384.04
11-22-1993Cash385.78
09-22-1993Buy0385.78
09-08-1993Cash385.78
08-16-1993Buy0.03385.78
08-04-1993Cash385.68
07-16-1993Sell-0.64385.68
06-28-1993Buy0.73388.18
06-25-1993Cash385.38
06-23-1993Sell-0.63385.38
05-04-1993Buy1.14387.83
04-03-1993Sell-1.24383.45
03-22-1993Cash388.28
03-02-1993Buy0388.28
02-17-1993Sell-2.18388.28
10-19-1992Buy12.29396.93
10-02-1992Cash353.49
09-02-1992Buy0353.49
09-02-1992Cash353.49
08-22-1992Sell-1.49353.49
08-21-1992Cash358.82
07-28-1992Buy0358.82
07-28-1992Cash358.82
07-23-1992Sell-0.9358.82
07-09-1992Buy-0.21362.10
07-08-1992Sell-1.41362.88
06-29-1992Buy-0.34368.08
06-10-1992Sell2.33369.35
06-09-1992Cash360.93
05-28-1992Buy-0.76360.93
05-14-1992Sell0.27363.69
05-04-1992Cash362.72
04-23-1992Sell-1.41362.72
04-20-1992Cash367.91
04-14-1992Buy-1.11367.91
03-04-1992Sell6.18372.05
02-26-1992Buy0.25350.39
02-18-1992Sell-0.11349.51
12-26-1991Buy12.95349.89
12-18-1991Sell-3.73309.78
12-11-1991Cash321.78
12-02-1991Buy0321.78
11-15-1991Cash321.78
10-30-1991Buy0321.78
10-30-1991Cash321.78
10-24-1991Sell-0.81321.78
07-08-1991Buy11.39324.42
06-19-1991Sell2.05291.26
06-10-1991Cash285.41
05-28-1991Buy0285.41
05-15-1991Cash285.41
03-26-1991Buy0285.41
03-26-1991Cash285.41
03-22-1991Sell-1.14285.41
01-17-1991Buy23.51288.70
01-16-1991Cash233.74
01-09-1991Sell-0.67233.74
10-18-1990Buy7.21235.32
07-20-1990Sell26.63219.48
05-11-1990Buy3.91173.33
03-29-1990Sell-0.56166.80
03-06-1990Buy0.77167.75
02-21-1990Cash166.48
02-07-1990Buy-1.18166.48
01-11-1990Sell5.26168.47
12-29-1989Buy-0.95160.05
12-11-1989Sell0.16161.58
12-06-1989Cash161.32
12-01-1989Buy-0.23161.32
10-28-1989Sell-1.18161.68
07-07-1989Buy2.11163.62
06-30-1989Sell-1.13160.24
04-14-1989Buy4.74162.08
04-03-1989Cash154.75
03-17-1989Sell-0.38154.75
11-30-1988Buy9.21155.34
11-11-1988Sell0.62142.24
11-03-1988Cash141.37
11-02-1988Sell-0.17141.37
09-02-1988Buy1.4141.60
08-09-1988Sell2.01139.65
07-29-1988Cash136.90
07-26-1988Sell-0.34136.90
05-24-1988Buy5.65137.37
05-10-1988Sell2.74130.02
04-26-1988Cash126.56
04-21-1988Sell-0.7126.56
12-14-1987Buy20.64127.45
11-19-1987Sell1.46105.65
11-12-1987Cash104.13
11-10-1987Sell-1.65104.13
11-09-1987Cash105.88
11-05-1987Buy-1.88105.88
10-08-1987Sell25.87107.90
10-07-1987Cash85.72
10-01-1987Buy-0.9385.72
10-01-1987Cash86.52
09-15-1987Sell-0.8386.52
09-14-1987Cash87.24
09-08-1987Sell-2.0287.24
06-03-1987Buy5.2289.04
05-15-1987Sell0.7184.62
04-30-1987Buy0.2684.02
04-23-1987Sell-0.0983.81
04-21-1987Buy-0.2783.89
04-07-1987Sell3.5684.12
01-05-1987Buy20.1681.23
12-05-1986Sell0.4967.60
11-21-1986Buy2.3467.27
11-18-1986Cash65.73
10-23-1986Buy065.73
10-22-1986Cash65.73
10-21-1986Sell-0.2165.73
10-01-1986Buy0.2265.87
09-29-1986Cash65.73
09-22-1986Buy-0.8865.73
09-11-1986Sell0.2266.32
09-09-1986Cash66.17
08-11-1986Buy066.17
07-08-1986Sell5.366.17
05-22-1986Buy0.2662.84
05-22-1986Cash62.67
05-13-1986Sell-0.462.67
10-16-1985Buy34.8862.92
10-14-1985Cash46.65
10-02-1985Sell-0.4946.65
09-24-1985Cash46.88
09-23-1985Buy-0.6246.88
08-15-1985Sell3.8747.17
06-21-1985Buy3.0845.41
06-11-1985Sell0.6344.05
05-10-1985Buy1.0743.77
05-09-1985Cash43.31
04-30-1985Sell-0.5643.31
04-16-1985Cash43.55
03-13-1985Sell-1.1843.55
12-18-1984Buy14.2844.07
11-14-1984Sell1.4338.56
11-13-1984Cash38.02
11-06-1984Buy-0.8238.02
11-06-1984Cash38.33
11-02-1984Sell-0.2538.33
10-29-1984Cash38.43
10-18-1984Buy-1.0838.43
09-21-1984Sell1.1638.85
08-21-1984Buy-0.2638.41
08-17-1984Cash38.51
08-15-1984Sell-0.3838.51
08-01-1984Buy7.0138.66
07-10-1984Sell1.2336.13
07-06-1984Cash35.69
06-20-1984Buy-0.7835.69
06-14-1984Cash35.97
06-01-1984Buy035.97
05-24-1984Sell-0.2235.97
05-22-1984Cash36.05
04-12-1984Buy036.05
04-02-1984Sell2.936.05
03-28-1984Buy-0.4835.03
03-23-1984Cash35.20
03-12-1984Buy035.20
01-25-1984Sell9.9535.20
01-23-1984Cash32.01
01-04-1984Buy032.01
12-07-1983Sell0.4232.01
11-11-1983Buy1.8131.88
10-12-1983Sell4.9631.31
10-12-1983Cash29.83
10-06-1983Buy-0.5329.83
09-23-1983Sell2.5829.99
09-19-1983Buy0.5929.24
09-12-1983Sell-0.3629.07
08-31-1983Buy2.8529.17
08-23-1983Sell0.4228.36
08-19-1983Cash28.24
08-17-1983Buy-0.4828.24
08-04-1983Sell-0.3828.38
03-09-1983Buy13.0728.49
03-08-1983Sell-0.7225.20
03-01-1983Buy0.5125.38
02-25-1983Sell0.2425.25
12-22-1982Buy13.5925.19
12-14-1982Sell0.1322.18
12-14-1982Cash22.15
11-30-1982Buy022.15
11-30-1982Cash22.15
11-19-1982Sell-0.2722.15
08-17-1982Buy41.3722.21
07-27-1982Sell4.9415.71
07-12-1982Cash14.97
07-07-1982Sell-0.6814.97
07-02-1982Cash15.07
06-28-1982Buy-0.4415.07
06-04-1982Sell2.1515.14
03-18-1982Buy2.7614.82
02-11-1982Sell6.6514.42
02-08-1982Cash13.52
01-28-1982Buy013.52
12-08-1981Sell6.0113.52
12-08-1981Cash12.75
11-24-1981Buy012.75
11-20-1981Cash12.75
11-19-1981Sell-0.1612.75
10-20-1981Buy3.1812.77
10-14-1981Sell-0.9512.38
10-02-1981Buy2.7412.50
08-21-1981Sell10.8312.17
08-18-1981Cash10.98
07-27-1981Buy010.98
06-15-1981Sell6.0710.98
06-11-1981Buy0.2810.35
06-02-1981Cash10.32
05-26-1981Buy010.32
05-21-1981Cash10.32
05-01-1981Sell-0.4410.32
03-31-1981Buy3.0910.37
03-26-1981Sell-0.3110.06
03-12-1981Buy4.4210.09
03-12-1981Cash9.66
03-10-1981Sell-0.749.66
02-26-1981Buy1.489.73
01-07-1981Sell0.639.59
01-06-1981Cash9.53
01-05-1981Buy-0.189.53
12-31-1980Cash9.55
12-29-1980Sell-0.969.55
12-09-1980Cash9.64
11-11-1980Buy09.64
11-06-1980Cash9.64
11-05-1980Buy-0.359.64
10-27-1980Sell-0.119.67
10-16-1980Cash9.68
10-15-1980Sell-0.059.68
04-22-1980Buy46.959.68
04-16-1980Cash6.59
04-15-1980Sell-0.536.59
04-07-1980Cash6.62
04-02-1980Buy-1.86.62
02-13-1980Sell17.696.74
11-26-1979Buy16.225.73
11-26-1979Cash4.93
11-20-1979Sell-0.554.93
11-14-1979Cash4.96
11-13-1979Sell-0.374.96
11-09-1979Buy0.944.98
11-07-1979Cash4.93
10-30-1979Buy04.93
10-09-1979Sell6.694.93
10-06-1979Cash4.62
10-05-1979Buy-0.544.62
10-04-1979Cash4.65
09-28-1979Sell-0.444.65
09-26-1979Cash4.67
09-25-1979Sell-0.154.67
05-17-1979Buy14.444.68
05-03-1979Sell2.84.09
03-05-1979Buy7.63.98
02-02-1979Sell0.873.70
01-03-1979Buy5.633.67
12-22-1978Cash3.47
12-18-1978Sell-1.733.47
12-18-1978Cash3.53
12-01-1978Buy03.53
10-17-1978Sell11.283.53
03-10-1978Buy26.633.17
01-18-1978Cash2.50
01-10-1978Sell-0.582.50
01-10-1978Cash2.51
11-10-1977Buy02.51
10-12-1977Sell-0.152.51
10-07-1977Cash2.51
09-08-1977Sell-0.232.51
09-08-1977Cash2.52
08-23-1977Sell-0.32.52
08-22-1977Cash2.53
08-16-1977Sell-0.362.53
08-10-1977Cash2.54
08-09-1977Sell-0.172.54
08-05-1977Cash2.54
08-02-1977Sell-0.32.54
06-03-1977Buy4.382.55
04-25-1977Cash2.44
04-12-1977Buy-0.62.44
01-25-1977Sell2.062.45
11-18-1976Buy8.072.40
11-03-1976Cash2.22
10-29-1976Buy-0.552.22
10-01-1976Sell0.12.23
10-01-1976Cash2.23
09-16-1976Buy02.23
09-09-1976Cash2.23
09-01-1976Buy02.23
09-01-1976Cash2.23
08-23-1976Sell-0.592.23
06-11-1976Buy2.152.24
05-19-1976Sell1.732.19
05-14-1976Cash2.15
05-10-1976Buy-0.442.15
04-27-1976Sell-0.632.16
04-20-1976Buy-0.72.17
04-09-1976Cash2.19
03-16-1976Buy02.19
03-15-1976Cash2.19
03-11-1976Buy-1.052.19
03-11-1976Cash2.21
03-09-1976Sell-0.482.21
01-05-1976Buy15.272.22
12-02-1975Sell-0.941.93
10-03-1975Buy2.421.95
09-25-1975Sell0.791.90
09-19-1975Buy-0.381.89
09-09-1975Sell0.271.90
09-09-1975Cash1.89
08-28-1975Buy-1.431.89
07-22-1975Sell8.941.92
01-09-1975Buy37.441.76
01-09-1975Cash1.28
01-08-1975Sell-1.061.28
12-31-1974Buy2.811.29
12-31-1974Cash1.25
12-23-1974Sell-1.161.25
12-23-1974Cash1.26
12-17-1974Buy-0.911.26
12-05-1974Sell-0.441.27
12-03-1974Cash1.28
11-26-1974Buy-1.391.28
11-12-1974Sell4.151.30
10-09-1974Buy13.531.25
09-27-1974Sell-0.791.10
09-26-1974Cash1.11
09-19-1974Buy-1.931.11
08-08-1974Sell15.771.13
08-07-1974Cash0.98
07-31-1974Sell-1.80.98
07-29-1974Cash1.00
07-17-1974Buy01.00
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* As of 11-08-2017 (intraday or end of day, depending)
Dr K VIX Volatility Timing Model (VVM)

The VIX Volatility Model (VVM) has been replaced with the Trading Volatility Report (TVR). The issue is that since April 2017, the market has traded in a manner that does not favor risk/reward in the version of the VVM that was adjusted on April 3, 2017.

Meanwhile, the old version of VVM (pre-April 3, 2017) remains nicely profitable, up +74.8% year-to-date (as of end of September 2017- note I will not be updating the pre-April 3, 2017 VVM's performance but feel free to email me if you would like to know how it is performing).

Depending on market conditions, I may bring out the pre-April 3, 2017 or current version of VVM at a later date, but our thinking has been as follows:

Our vision at Virtue of Selfish Investing has been to teach the investor how to fish optimally, rather than give them the fish. While both timing models are for those who don't have the time or inclination to follow the market, it is better to shelve the VIX Volatility Model at this time.

Some signals in both the former and current versions of VVM are sensitive to the minute during volatile periods such as when the UVXY spikes. It is therefore far more instructive and useful to each member to understand how to trade the UVXY than to rely on email updates on time-critical signals.

That said, the UVXY and XIV are both often not quite so time-sensitive. Thus future reports on volatility will deal with potential entry points on both the UVXY and XIV in an instructive manner. It will be up to each member to decide for themselves where to enter the trade and where to exit the trade. In some cases, we will provide guidance on both sides of the trade.