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Market Direction Model - Model switches to SELL on January 2, 2019

MDM has switched to a SELL signal. The downtrend remains intact. Chinese manufacturing came in weaker than expected as global and domestic demand cooled. Forecasters said that could send shock waves through Asian economies that supply Chinese factories with raw materials and components. A scare in a slowing economy in China pushed the U.S. markets down close to -20% in late 2015 then again in early 2016. Of course, global QE rescued the situation. Today, with the U.S. quantitatively tightening, and the ECB planning the end to its QE program, there is less real and psychological support from QE than there was back then. 

One analyst noted how while the trade issue is a factor, underlying demand outside of China is a larger factor, reflective of the global economic malaise. The Chinese manufacturing downturn “raises a few red flags,” said Vishnu Varathan of Mizuho Bank in a report. The slide is “not entirely surprising given more challenging global trade conditions,” but it is “potentially symptomatic of far sharper underlying demand pullback,” said Varathan. China’s trade and investment ties with its neighbors mean the slowdown “will reverberate more widely to other Asian exporters.”


List of Potential ETFs for investors:

1-times inverse

PSQ - NASDAQ 100 1x bear.

2-times inverse

QID - NASDAQ 100 2x bear.

3-times inverse

SQQQ - NASDAQ 100 3x bear.

TECS - S&P Techology Select Sector 3x bear.

NOTE: This is a suggested list. Investors may wish to become acquainted with the full range of available ETFs, and should make an effort to understand how these ETFs are created and what their components are, as well as being aware of the downside risks involved, especially with leveraged ETFs. Certain ETFs may be more appropriate depending on one's risk tolerance levels. Typing in keyword 'ETF' into the FAQ keyword search bar or going here https://www.virtueofselfishinvesting.com/faqs/search?p=1&q=etf  and visiting this site https://etfdb.com/  can be instructive.

This information is provided by MoKa Investors, LLC DBA Virtue of Selfish Investing (VoSI) is issued solely for informational purposes and does not constitute an offer to sell or a solicitation of an offer to buy securities. Information contained herein is based on sources which we believe to be reliable but is not guaranteed by us as being accurate and does not purport to be a complete statement or summary of available data. VoSI reports are intended to alert VoSI members to technical developments in certain securities that may or may not be actionable, only, and are not intended as recommendations. Past performance is not a guarantee, nor is it necessarily indicative, of future results. Opinions expressed herein are statements of our judgment as of the publication date and are subject to change without notice. Entities including but not limited to VoSI, its members, officers, directors, employees, customers, agents, and affiliates may have a position, long or short, in the securities referred to herein, and/or other related securities, and may increase or decrease such position or take a contra position. Additional information is available upon written request. This publication is for clients of Virtue of Selfish Investing. Reproduction without written permission is strictly prohibited and will be prosecuted to the full extent of the law. ©2019 MoKa Investors, LLC DBA Virtue of Selfish Investing. All rights reserved.
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