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Market Direction Model - Model switches to SELL on September 26, 2023

MDM has switched to a SELL signal. 

Both the NASDAQ Composite and S&P 500 did not bounce as the downtrend continues. 

Markets are fighting a backdrop of diminishing global liquidity, long bond yields that are sufficiently high to compete with stocks, a stronger dollar, and deflated AI expectations due to companies overpromising.
 

On bond yields, the real yield is the yield on US treasuries minus inflation. The Fed is nearing the end of its hiking cycle but where inflation heads is less certain. If inflation continues to fall, the Fed is still likely to keep rates at current levels for a prolonged period. 2% is still far off. Some members have said 2% is not achievable until late 2024. In such a case, the real yield would rise which is bearish for stocks. 

List of Potential ETFs for investors:

1-times inverse

PSQ - NASDAQ 100 1x bear.

2-times inverse

QID - NASDAQ 100 2x bear.

3-times inverse

SQQQ - NASDAQ 100 3x bear.

TECS - S&P Technology Select Sector 3x bear.

NOTE: This is a suggested list. Investors may wish to become acquainted with the full range of available ETFs, and should make an effort to understand how these ETFs are created and what their components are, as well as being aware of the downside risks involved, especially with leveraged ETFs. Certain ETFs may be more appropriate depending on one's risk tolerance levels. Typing in keyword 'ETF' into the FAQ keyword search bar or going here https://www.virtueofselfishinvesting.com/faqs/search?p=1&q=etf  and visiting this site https://etfdb.com/  can be instructive.

This information is provided by MoKa Investors, LLC DBA Virtue of Selfish Investing (VoSI) is issued solely for informational purposes and does not constitute an offer to sell or a solicitation of an offer to buy securities. Information contained herein is based on sources which we believe to be reliable but is not guaranteed by us as being accurate and does not purport to be a complete statement or summary of available data. VoSI reports are intended to alert VoSI members to technical developments in certain securities that may or may not be actionable, only, and are not intended as recommendations. Past performance is not a guarantee, nor is it necessarily indicative, of future results. Opinions expressed herein are statements of our judgment as of the publication date and are subject to change without notice. Entities including but not limited to VoSI, its members, officers, directors, employees, customers, agents, and affiliates may have a position, long or short, in the securities referred to herein, and/or other related securities, and may increase or decrease such position or take a contra position. Additional information is available upon written request. This publication is for clients of Virtue of Selfish Investing. Reproduction without written permission is strictly prohibited and will be prosecuted to the full extent of the law. ©2024 MoKa Investors, LLC DBA Virtue of Selfish Investing. All rights reserved.
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