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Focus List Review - Week Ended January 6, 2017

Current VoSI Focus List

The VoSI Focus List is a compilation and reference list of stocks for which Pocket Pivot or Buyable Gap-Up Reports have been issued. It is not intended as a "buy list" or a list of recommendations. Stocks on the list may or may not be in proper buy positions, and investors should exercise discretion and proper judgement in determining when and where stocks on the Focus List can be purchased. The following notes are intended to assist in this process.

General Observations: A number of names were added to the list this week as we issued a steady stream of new Pocket Pivot Reports throughout the week. Notes regarding these names can be found in our accompanying weekend Market Lab Reports titled, "Review of Pocket Pivot Reports for the Week Ended January 6, 2017" and "Review of Buyable Gap-Up Reports for the Week Ended January 6 2017."

Among names that were on the list prior to this past week, Argan (AGX) is holding up very tightly within a short flag formation. Note the five-day pocket pivot that was posted on Wednesday. We like to see clusters of five-day pocket pivots in lieu of a single ten-day pocket pivot. On Friday, AGX pulled down to its 20-day exponential moving average (green line) but closed up on the day in a clear sign of supporting action at the line. This is starting to set up as a buyable situation based on the tight, constructive price/volume action. It could perhaps be bought here using the 20-day line as a tight selling guide.

Arista Networks (ANET) posted a big-volume pocket pivot breakout on Wednesday of this past week that cleared the 100 price level. This brings into play Jesse Livermore's Century Mark Buy Rule using the $100 "Century Mark," plus another 1-3% of downside porosity as a tight selling guide. On the weekly chart, this week's action also qualifies as a breakout from a "three-weeks-tight" or "3WT" flag base formation, so is actionable on this basis as well.

Big-stock fertilizer name Mosaic (MOS) posted a pocket pivot signature on Wednesday. Based on Tuesday's close, this looks close enough to the 10-day line to qualify as a pocket pivot, but the stock was previously buyable along the 20-day moving average per our comments on the stock last weekend. Following Wednesday's pocket pivot move, MOS then held very tight on Thursday and Friday as volume dried up sharply. 

We have kept Nvidia (NVDA) on the Focus List even though last week's action has the look of a climactic top. The price certainly got ahead of itself thus we have always advised taking profits in such situations. It is not clear to us, however, that this is the ultimate top for NVDA, or simply a sign of near-term extension that will now require some base-building before the stock has a shot at moving higher. Many make the mistake of thinking that just because a stock appears to have posted a "Climax Top" it makes for an "automatic" short-sale target.

That is not necessarily the case, and we have seen many so-called "climax tops" turn around and at least retest the prior highs. A good example would be Ambarella (AMBA) in 2015, and members can investigate that chart on their own. NVDA is currently holding tight along the 20-day moving average and above the $100 Century Mark (which NVDA cleared two weeks ago, triggering Jesse Livermore's Century Mark Buy Rule and leading to a nice nearly 20% upside move from there).

It is possible that with the stock sitting here at the 20-day line, a potential swing-trade, anticipating a retest of the highs as over-eager shorts get squeezed, could be made using the 20-day line or the $100 price level as a tight selling guide.

Among other pre-existing names on the list, SunCoke Energy (SXC), The Trade Desk (TTD), and Zillow (Z) have all been in pullback mode.

SXC has dipped below its 50-day moving average, but is merely plumbing along the lows of what is now a four-week base after a strong move from the latter part of October to early December of last year. The low of its current base is 11.01, so we might watch for a possible undercut & rally move developing should the stock drop below 11.01 and then manage to rally back above that price point.

TTD and Z have both pulled back into their 50-day moving averages, which would put them in lower-risk entry positions using the 50-day lines as tight selling guides.

This information is provided by MoKa Investors, LLC DBA Virtue of Selfish Investing (VoSI) is issued solely for informational purposes and does not constitute an offer to sell or a solicitation of an offer to buy securities. Information contained herein is based on sources which we believe to be reliable but is not guaranteed by us as being accurate and does not purport to be a complete statement or summary of available data. VoSI reports are intended to alert VoSI members to technical developments in certain securities that may or may not be actionable, only, and are not intended as recommendations. Past performance is not a guarantee, nor is it necessarily indicative, of future results. Opinions expressed herein are statements of our judgment as of the publication date and are subject to change without notice. Entities including but not limited to VoSI, its members, officers, directors, employees, customers, agents, and affiliates may have a position, long or short, in the securities referred to herein, and/or other related securities, and may increase or decrease such position or take a contra position. Additional information is available upon written request. This publication is for clients of Virtue of Selfish Investing. Reproduction without written permission is strictly prohibited and will be prosecuted to the full extent of the law. ©2024 MoKa Investors, LLC DBA Virtue of Selfish Investing. All rights reserved.
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