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Market Lab Report - Premarket Pulse 10/13/16

Major averages finished yesterday roughly midbar and flat on lower volume with all major averages now below their respective 50-day moving averages. As we discussed in last week's VoSI market webinar, the potential for a market sell-off was increasing at that time. This morning we see that come to full fruition as futures come off sharply before the open.

The Fed’s September meeting minutes showed support for an interest rate rise soon, yet at the same time implied a go-slow approach, confirming that policy makers have differing views. One analyst remarked that a “divided Fed is really bad for the market" as the market hates uncertainty.

Meanwhile, weak economic news out of China showed that China’s exports last month fell much more than expected, as global demand for goods from the world’s second-largest economy remained sluggish. This is reminiscent of economic troubles in China which were first reported in August 2015 which caused a correction in August then again in January 2016. “This has made investors a little nervous once again,” the analyst said. That’s after they had been “thinking that they may not have to worry about China anymore,” he added.

As we have advised keeping stops tight and taking profits in context with a stock's chart, a number of leading names have taken it on the chin. Taken together with the major averages which failed to break through resistance, this bodes unwell for the markets in general. That said, always keep a close eye on stocks with constructive pullbacks during corrections as they are often the ones with the strongest bounces when the weight of the market comes off.

This information is provided by MoKa Investors, LLC DBA Virtue of Selfish Investing (VoSI) is issued solely for informational purposes and does not constitute an offer to sell or a solicitation of an offer to buy securities. Information contained herein is based on sources which we believe to be reliable but is not guaranteed by us as being accurate and does not purport to be a complete statement or summary of available data. VoSI reports are intended to alert VoSI members to technical developments in certain securities that may or may not be actionable, only, and are not intended as recommendations. Past performance is not a guarantee, nor is it necessarily indicative, of future results. Opinions expressed herein are statements of our judgment as of the publication date and are subject to change without notice. Entities including but not limited to VoSI, its members, officers, directors, employees, customers, agents, and affiliates may have a position, long or short, in the securities referred to herein, and/or other related securities, and may increase or decrease such position or take a contra position. Additional information is available upon written request. This publication is for clients of Virtue of Selfish Investing. Reproduction without written permission is strictly prohibited and will be prosecuted to the full extent of the law. ©2024 MoKa Investors, LLC DBA Virtue of Selfish Investing. All rights reserved.
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