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Market Lab Report - Taking profits when you have them

Members and non-members will note the many emails we have sent where we have suggested one must be extra nimble in this QE-manipulated market. Taking profits when you have them in context with your risk tolerance and money management strategies while closely monitoring buying and selling pressure in the general markets has been a good way to baby-step your account higher month after month so by the end of the year, a healthy profit is achieved. 

Likewise, keeping stops tight has been just as important so you preserve more of your capital for any future trades that turn out to be profitable.

The VIX Volatility Model has built-in profit taking rules. When a profit taking alert is hit typically around 14-15% on BUY signals, it does not necessarily exit right at that time, but instead looks for a logical exit to potentially maximize profits, after all, 14-15% profits can go a lot further on BUY signals when the market is falling and volatility is spiking. 

The VVM has no profit taking alerts on SELL signals, but the current sell signal is up over +10%, or +12.15% to be exact as of today's close. Given the scarcity of double digit profits, some may wish to take partial profits. The sell stop is currently close to the price at which the sell signal was issued, so in a worst case scenario, one would get "round tripped" where their profits of 12.15% are closed out at breakeven. 

Keep in mind that some of the VVM SELL signals can go a lot longer than expected as the market can, on occasion, trend higher for weeks. So the question of whether to take partial profits here depends on each individual's risk tolerance levels and money management style. 

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This information is provided by MoKa Investors, LLC DBA Virtue of Selfish Investing (VoSI) is issued solely for informational purposes and does not constitute an offer to sell or a solicitation of an offer to buy securities. Information contained herein is based on sources which we believe to be reliable but is not guaranteed by us as being accurate and does not purport to be a complete statement or summary of available data. VoSI reports are intended to alert VoSI members to technical developments in certain securities that may or may not be actionable, only, and are not intended as recommendations. Past performance is not a guarantee, nor is it necessarily indicative, of future results. Opinions expressed herein are statements of our judgment as of the publication date and are subject to change without notice. Entities including but not limited to VoSI, its members, officers, directors, employees, customers, agents, and affiliates may have a position, long or short, in the securities referred to herein, and/or other related securities, and may increase or decrease such position or take a contra position. Additional information is available upon written request. This publication is for clients of Virtue of Selfish Investing. Reproduction without written permission is strictly prohibited and will be prosecuted to the full extent of the law. ©2024 MoKa Investors, LLC DBA Virtue of Selfish Investing. All rights reserved.
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