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MDM - Model switches to BUY after the close/before the next open

The market undercut its lows then moved aggressively higher on huge volume during the last hour of trade. This has often presaged a further move higher. Thus, a major reversal seen during the last hour of the trading day points to:

a) either a bounce that can be shorted into, in which case the model will reinitiate its sell signal over the next few days

OR

b) the legitimate start of an uptrend, though leadership has yet to show sufficient constructive action

In either case, odds point to a move higher of some sort, thus switching from one's inverse ETF(s) into normal ETF(s) for the time being is a viable strategy. Know, however, that the risk in initiating a new long position in a normal ETF carries more risk than normal since the volatility at present should remain relatively high. Thus, one may instead elect to move to cash and simply take profits here.

As for quantitative easing out of Europe (Euro-QE), many arguments can be made that Euro-QE will be ineffective. That said, Euro-QE could push the markets higher in a lackluster fashion as QE1 and QE2 has done for US markets from March 2009 - June 2011.

 

Suggested ETFs:

1-times

IWM (Russell 2000)

QQQ (NASDAQ-100)

2-times

UWM (Russell 2000)

QLD (NASDAQ-100)

3-times

TNA (Russell 2000)

TQQQ (NASDAQ-100)

This information is provided by MoKa Investors, LLC DBA Virtue of Selfish Investing (VoSI) is issued solely for informational purposes and does not constitute an offer to sell or a solicitation of an offer to buy securities. Information contained herein is based on sources which we believe to be reliable but is not guaranteed by us as being accurate and does not purport to be a complete statement or summary of available data. VoSI reports are intended to alert VoSI members to technical developments in certain securities that may or may not be actionable, only, and are not intended as recommendations. Past performance is not a guarantee, nor is it necessarily indicative, of future results. Opinions expressed herein are statements of our judgment as of the publication date and are subject to change without notice. Entities including but not limited to VoSI, its members, officers, directors, employees, customers, agents, and affiliates may have a position, long or short, in the securities referred to herein, and/or other related securities, and may increase or decrease such position or take a contra position. Additional information is available upon written request. This publication is for clients of Virtue of Selfish Investing. Reproduction without written permission is strictly prohibited and will be prosecuted to the full extent of the law. ©2024 MoKa Investors, LLC DBA Virtue of Selfish Investing. All rights reserved.
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