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MDM - Model switches to SELL on August 2, 2012

MDM has switched to a sell signal.

The market reacted somewhat negatively to yesterday's Federal Reserve announcement that "economic activity decelerated somewhat over the first half of this year." This is a change from their prior view that economic activity was slowly picking up. No mention was made of QE3, and, as expected, the Fed's plan is to keep interest rates low through late 2014. The European Central Bank reported with no signs of concrete action to back up their words and claims. Markets consequently sold off hard in premarket trading.

The major market averages have shown signs of distribution over the last few weeks, and distribution is defined as a day where the market closes lower than the day before on higher volume, providing a clue that institutional investors are unloading shares. As this negative action increases, the odds of a market correction also increase.

For those who are holding long positions in stocks, the underlying tone of the market has deteriorated as a number number of leading big-cap NASDAQ stocks have broken down or are trading trendlessly, such as Priceline.com (PCLN) and Intuitive Surgical (ISRG) while smaller, nascent leaders are either breaking down or trading in a trendless manner characterized by wide intraday ranges such as Francesca's Holdings (FRAN) and Three D Systems (DDD). This further increases risk in this environment. With risk rising, investors should keep their stocks on a tight leash by keeping clear exit points in mind. Investing is not about making predictions in "buy and hope" fashion, but by making decisions, taking positions, and then relying on the market itself to tell you whether your decision was right or wrong and then reacting to the informational feedback system that the market provides in order to build positons in winners and cutting losers short.

This information is provided by MoKa Investors, LLC DBA Virtue of Selfish Investing (VoSI) is issued solely for informational purposes and does not constitute an offer to sell or a solicitation of an offer to buy securities. Information contained herein is based on sources which we believe to be reliable but is not guaranteed by us as being accurate and does not purport to be a complete statement or summary of available data. VoSI reports are intended to alert VoSI members to technical developments in certain securities that may or may not be actionable, only, and are not intended as recommendations. Past performance is not a guarantee, nor is it necessarily indicative, of future results. Opinions expressed herein are statements of our judgment as of the publication date and are subject to change without notice. Entities including but not limited to VoSI, its members, officers, directors, employees, customers, agents, and affiliates may have a position, long or short, in the securities referred to herein, and/or other related securities, and may increase or decrease such position or take a contra position. Additional information is available upon written request. This publication is for clients of Virtue of Selfish Investing. Reproduction without written permission is strictly prohibited and will be prosecuted to the full extent of the law. ©2024 MoKa Investors, LLC DBA Virtue of Selfish Investing. All rights reserved.
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