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MLR - PMP 4/30/14

Major markets rose on lower volume. A lackluster response from leading names shows little playable as of yet on the long side. That said, number of European bourses hit new highs Tuesday, and the S&P 500 is just 1% off its highs, so a de facto resumption of the uptrend is near. If such should occur, it does not mean the MDM would automatically switch to a buy, but it is aware of how quantitative easing has had a tendency to push markets higher on light volume in baby step fashion.

Today marks the end of a 2-day Fed meeting so further assurance of low interest rates for a prolonged period would not be surprising. This could mean a continuation of the uptrend as S&P 500 and European bourses are at or near new highs. Price/volume in leading stocks and major indices, however, remains bearish.

The Fed is expected to continue with their taper, cutting QE by another $10 billion when they announced their latest policy today. With first quarter GDP coming in at 0.1% instead of the 1.0% that was expected, the Fed may find that they remain stuck for now. Investors should have short-sale targets at the ready should the market roll over, but avoid getting locked into a bearish frame of mind as the S&P 500 is close to making a new high which would then place the market back in a de facto rally. Today's action will likely be telling in this regard.

This information is provided by MoKa Investors, LLC DBA Virtue of Selfish Investing (VoSI) is issued solely for informational purposes and does not constitute an offer to sell or a solicitation of an offer to buy securities. Information contained herein is based on sources which we believe to be reliable but is not guaranteed by us as being accurate and does not purport to be a complete statement or summary of available data. VoSI reports are intended to alert VoSI members to technical developments in certain securities that may or may not be actionable, only, and are not intended as recommendations. Past performance is not a guarantee, nor is it necessarily indicative, of future results. Opinions expressed herein are statements of our judgment as of the publication date and are subject to change without notice. Entities including but not limited to VoSI, its members, officers, directors, employees, customers, agents, and affiliates may have a position, long or short, in the securities referred to herein, and/or other related securities, and may increase or decrease such position or take a contra position. Additional information is available upon written request. This publication is for clients of Virtue of Selfish Investing. Reproduction without written permission is strictly prohibited and will be prosecuted to the full extent of the law. ©2024 MoKa Investors, LLC DBA Virtue of Selfish Investing. All rights reserved.
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