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VoSI Report Watch List & Market Review for the Week Ended March 1, 2019

Current Report Watch List
The list above is a compilation and reference list of stocks for which Pocket Pivot or Buyable Gap-Up Reports have been issued since the market turn in late December and which are still considered active.It is not intended as a "buy list" or a list of immediately actionable recommendations. Stocks on the list may or may not be in proper buy positions, and investors should exercise discretion and proper judgement in determining when and where stocks on the list can be purchased. The following notes are intended to assist in this process. Please note that members can enlarge the list image by clicking on the body of the email and then holding the Control Key while pressing the "+" key until it is large enough to read.

General Market Observations: 
The NASDAQ Composite Index is the most impressive among the Big Three Major Market Indexes after posting its tenth straight week up since the late December bottom. While many will consider this upside streak as indicative of a frothy, "overbought" market, we would not necessarily jump to such pat conclusions. Leading stocks would have to start breaking down en masse, which is not occurring, and the Big Three market indexes would also have to break near-term support at the 40-week and 200-day moving averages. We also note that the small-cap Russell 2000 Index has also posted a winning streak of ten straight up weeks off the lows as the market has shifted to a decidedly risk-on character.

While we are open to any and all possibilities to the forward-looking market scenario, the current reality on the ground, so to speak, remains bullish. Thus, the trend remains your friend, and the The Market Direction Model (MDM) remains on a buy signal.

Notable Action: 
We reported on Palo Alto Networks (PANW) as a buyable gap-up on Wednesday with an intraday low of 250.60. The stock has since dropped about 2% below that low, which is allowable porosity and could bring the stock into a lower-risk entry position as volume dries up. One could take a shot at it here, using a very tight 2-3% to the downside as a very tight selling guide.

We reported on Square (SQ) as it was posting a big-volume pocket pivot on Thursday after reporting earnings. The stock had initially gapped down to the 20-dema, but it found support there and rallied on a big outside reversal to the upside. It then ran into some selling volume on Friday, pulling it back into the 10-dma. Look for the stock to hold the 10-dma, where it could present a lower-risk entry on the heels of Thursday's pocket pivot. There is a possibility that it could retest the 20-dema, so a flexible approach is necessary.

Exelixis (EXEL) is a good example of a stock that is persistent after a post-earnings sell-off. After reporting earnings two weeks ago, the stock failed on a BGU attempt, and then undercut the prior 20.73 low of February 8th. It rallied back above that low, triggering an undercut & rally (U&R) long entry at that point, as we discussed last weekend. That has led to a nice move back up towards the recent highs, and from here pullbacks into the higher 20-dema or the 10-dma would offer lower-risk entries following the optimal U&R entry eight days ago on the chart.

Cyber-security name Mimecast Limited (MIME), one of three we've reported on recently, including CYBR and PANW, has held tight following its post-earnings buyable gap-up move. The stock had a rapid ascent from the lows of just over four weeks ago down around 35 and is entitled to some consolidation. The tight action along the 10-dma and just above the BGU intraday low of 47.25 puts this in buyable range of the BGU using the 47.25 price point as a tight selling guide.

Wingstop (WING) reported earnings on Wednesday after the close and traded down on Thursday, undercutting the prior 64 low in the pattern. That triggered a temporary but sharp U&R long set-up at that point. The stock has since pulled back down and is retesting that 64 low. Earnings growth came in at a poor 0%, so it is questionable whether the stock can remain viable if it breaks the 64 price level.

Medpace (MEDP) reported earnings Tuesday after the close and missed badly, gapping down in brutal fashion on Wednesday. It is a good example of why we prefer not to play earnings roulette with a stock unless we have a significant profit cushion in the stock first. The stock has broken all the way down to its 200-dma where it has found temporary support. Whether it can hold the 200-dma or not remains to be seen, and it is not clear to us that it can rebound immediately from current price levels given the technical damage.

Additional stocks on the Report Watch List holding support at the 10-dma or 20-dema: AMD, CMG, FIVN, IAC, NFLX, PAYC, and VIAV.

This information is provided by MoKa Investors, LLC DBA Virtue of Selfish Investing (VoSI) is issued solely for informational purposes and does not constitute an offer to sell or a solicitation of an offer to buy securities. Information contained herein is based on sources which we believe to be reliable but is not guaranteed by us as being accurate and does not purport to be a complete statement or summary of available data. VoSI reports are intended to alert VoSI members to technical developments in certain securities that may or may not be actionable, only, and are not intended as recommendations. Past performance is not a guarantee, nor is it necessarily indicative, of future results. Opinions expressed herein are statements of our judgment as of the publication date and are subject to change without notice. Entities including but not limited to VoSI, its members, officers, directors, employees, customers, agents, and affiliates may have a position, long or short, in the securities referred to herein, and/or other related securities, and may increase or decrease such position or take a contra position. Additional information is available upon written request. This publication is for clients of Virtue of Selfish Investing. Reproduction without written permission is strictly prohibited and will be prosecuted to the full extent of the law. ©2024 MoKa Investors, LLC DBA Virtue of Selfish Investing. All rights reserved.
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