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Market Timing Results

A material change was made to the model on Feb 9, 2019 which accounts for its improved performance. Details HERE.
See why big fluctuations in performance can happen over just a few days
Shorting TECL vs. buying TECS on a sell signal
The total return includes the rare outsized negative returns which are marked by ** in the performance tables below. By employing sell stops such as 6% on NASDAQ Composite and 18% on TECL which have been suggested since we launched this site, drawdowns are minimized. Buying and holding does not reduce the inevitable deep drawdowns that come such as in 2022 so on a risk/reward basis, it is better to time the market. The model has always profited during major corrections such as in 2000-2002, late 2008, early 2020, and 2022 which not only removes the buy & hold risk, but also generates steep profits when most are losing. Some members set their own sell stops depending on their risk tolerance levels which is unique for each person.
Note: The "as of" date and performance graphs are not updated each day to keep the latest change in signal private to members only. The performance numbers are based on going 100% long, short, or cash. They do not take into account early exit points should a loss exceed a certain percentage since each member has their own unique risk tolerance. Further, should volatility levels become elevated, we advise members to risk significantly less capital than normal. During such periods, the Market Direction Model will take on greater risk by allowing larger losses during such periods to avoid getting whipsawed. As with our other services, members are always advised to set their own stops and/or adjust their position sizes in line with their risk tolerance preferences.
NASDAQ Composite Market Direction Model
Trading Return Jan 31, 2000 - Sep 25, 2023		 +1,720%*
NASDAQ Composite Buy and Hold Return
Jan 31, 2000 - Sep 25, 2023		 +236%
Index Market Direction Model Trading Return
Jan 31, 2000 - Sep 25, 2023		 Buy-and-Hold Return
Jan 31, 2000 - Sep 25, 2023
NASDAQ Composite +1,720%* +236%
* conservative approach using NO leverage

Note: All data shown below are delayed by up to two months for non-members. Some signals that are showing big profits may have the time delay removed to show non-members the success of the current signal. The risk in entering such a position late is not recommended. New members should wait until either model switches signals before buying a position.

Members receive emails in real-time whenever either of the models switch signals.

Getting started is as easy as 1, 2, 3:
  1. You will receive an email whenever the model switches signals.
  2. Choose from the list of suggested ETFs. Buy the ETF.
  3. Await the next change in signal.
Timing Model profit/loss on TECL
All data shown below are delayed by up to two months for non-members.
DateSignal% gain / loss$1 becomes
03-28-2025Cash4.62
03-24-2025Buy-13.924.62
03-19-2025Cash5.37
03-06-2025Sell2.185.37
03-03-2025Cash5.26
02-14-2025Buy-24.23 *5.26
02-07-2025Cash6.94
01-21-2025Buy-5.016.94
01-02-2025Cash7.31
09-11-2024Buy26.697.31
09-05-2024Sell-3.595.77
08-07-2024Buy0.915.98
08-06-2024Sell-8.145.93
07-05-2024Buy-39.02 *6.45
07-01-2024Cash10.57
06-12-2024Buy3.2910.57
06-10-2024Cash10.23
05-10-2024Buy10.9110.23
05-03-2024Cash9.22
05-01-2024Sell-11.679.22
04-25-2024Cash10.44
04-22-2024Buy2.4710.44
04-15-2024Sell11.9310.19
04-10-2024Cash9.10
03-20-2024Buy-6.429.10
03-11-2024Cash9.73
02-07-2024Buy2.029.73
01-31-2024Cash9.54
01-19-2024Buy0.569.54
01-11-2024Cash9.49
11-28-2023Buy4.949.49
11-14-2023Cash9.04
09-26-2023Sell-37.49 *9.04
09-25-2023Cash14.46
08-24-2023Sell11.3514.46
08-11-2023Cash12.99
07-12-2023Buy-12.7212.99
06-23-2023Cash14.88
06-21-2023Buy-1.514.88
04-05-2023Cash15.11
04-03-2023Buy-5.2115.11
03-13-2023Cash15.94
05-11-2022Sell23.3815.94
05-04-2022Cash12.92
02-10-2022Sell28.9712.92
01-03-2022Cash10.02
12-14-2021Sell-6.3110.02
11-30-2021Cash10.69
11-29-2021Buy-0.8210.69
11-22-2021Cash10.78
10-20-2021Buy26.6410.78
09-28-2021Cash8.51
09-22-2021Buy-0.968.51
09-20-2021Cash8.59
07-28-2021Buy-4.078.59
07-15-2021Cash8.95
07-01-2021Buy10.338.95
05-12-2021Cash8.11
04-01-2021Buy-3.818.11
03-08-2021Cash8.43
01-07-2021Buy-1.678.43
01-06-2021Cash8.57
11-24-2020Buy15.988.57
11-02-2020Cash7.39
06-15-2020Buy26.117.39
06-15-2020Cash5.86
06-01-2020Buy-1.365.86
04-22-2020Cash5.94
03-05-2020Sell37.295.94
03-05-2020Cash4.33
11-01-2019Buy18.874.33
10-01-2019Cash3.64
09-05-2019Buy-2.63.64
08-23-2019Cash3.74
08-19-2019Buy-7.683.74
08-05-2019Cash4.05
06-13-2019Buy-0.344.05
05-13-2019Cash4.06
02-07-2019 **Buy25.544.06
01-22-2019Sell-15.843.23
01-03-2019Cash3.84
01-02-2019Sell2.053.84
12-21-2018Cash3.76
12-21-2018Buy-5.653.76
12-03-2018Cash3.98
11-07-2018Buy-9.543.98
11-02-2018Cash4.40
10-22-2018Sell2.744.40
10-12-2018Cash4.28
10-10-2018Sell10.74.28
10-09-2018Buy-3.033.87
10-04-2018Sell8.33.99
07-18-2018Buy9.653.68
07-16-2018Cash3.36
07-03-2018Sell-9.493.36
06-25-2018Cash3.71
06-20-2018Buy-5.753.71
06-19-2018Cash3.94
06-01-2018Buy3.063.94
05-07-2018Cash3.82
05-01-2018Sell-12.183.82
04-24-2018Cash4.35
04-10-2018Buy-6.394.35
04-03-2018Sell-7.744.65
03-26-2018Cash5.04
03-23-2018Sell-3.915.04
03-19-2018Cash5.25
03-09-2018Buy-5.535.25
02-05-2018Cash5.56
12-27-2017Buy-0.985.56
11-29-2017Cash5.62
09-08-2017Buy25.925.62
08-21-2017Cash4.46
08-18-2017Buy-34.46
08-17-2017Cash4.60
08-16-2017Buy-3.824.60
08-10-2017Cash4.78
07-11-2017Buy9.924.78
06-29-2017Cash4.35
06-15-2017Buy-5.234.35
06-14-2017Cash4.59
04-25-2017Buy6.814.59
04-20-2017Cash4.30
04-18-2017Sell-3.614.30
01-31-2017Buy16.684.46
01-30-2017Cash3.82
Click for all signals going back to Mar 2009
Scroll for earlier results
Tap for earlier results
* Such returns represent the rare outsized negative returns which are marked by ** in the performance tables. By employing sell stops such as 6% on NASDAQ Composite and 18% on TECL which have been suggested since we launched this site, drawdowns are minimized. Buying and holding does not reduce the inevitable deep drawdowns that come such as in 2022 so on a risk/reward basis, it is better to time the market. The model has always profited during major corrections such as in 2000-2002, late 2008, early 2020, and 2022 which not only removes the buy & hold risk, but also generates steep profits when most are losing. Some members set their own sell stops depending on their risk tolerance levels which is unique for each person.
** A material change was made to the model on Feb 9, 2019 which accounts for its improved performance. Details HERE . Let us know if you have any further questions.
Market Direction Model (MDM) profit/loss on NASDAQ Composite
All data shown below are delayed by up to two months for non-members.
DateSignal% gain / loss$1 becomes
03-28-2025Cash41,762.12
03-24-2025Buy-3.9841,762.12
03-19-2025Cash43,493.34
03-06-2025Sell1.743,493.34
03-03-2025Cash42,765.47
02-14-2025Buy-8.02 *42,765.47
02-07-2025Cash46,492.01
01-21-2025Buy-1.0546,492.01
01-02-2025Cash46,987.26
09-11-2024Buy13.2446,987.26
09-05-2024Sell0.0241,493.25
08-07-2024Buy2.6641,485.96
08-06-2024Sell-2.3540,411.37
07-05-2024Buy-10.9 *41,382.16
07-01-2024Cash46,445.05
06-12-2024Buy1.4146,445.05
06-10-2024Cash45,801.29
05-10-2024Buy4.1345,801.29
05-03-2024Cash43,983.61
05-01-2024Sell-3.1843,983.61
04-25-2024Cash45,427.65
04-22-2024Buy-0.0345,427.65
04-15-2024Sell3.2845,442.42
04-10-2024Cash44,000.81
03-20-2024Buy-1.2644,000.81
03-11-2024Cash44,560.93
02-07-2024Buy2.1844,560.93
01-31-2024Cash43,612.12
01-19-2024Buy0.5643,612.12
01-11-2024Cash43,371.03
11-28-2023Buy3.6943,371.03
11-14-2023Cash41,828.65
09-26-2023Sell-7.86 *41,828.65
09-25-2023Cash45,396.97
08-24-2023Sell3.5745,396.97
08-11-2023Cash43,833.20
07-12-2023Buy-2.0243,833.20
06-23-2023Cash44,736.61
06-21-2023Buy-0.2544,736.61
04-05-2023Cash44,849.49
04-03-2023Buy-1.5644,849.49
03-13-2023Cash45,562.22
05-11-2022Sell3.7845,562.22
05-04-2022Cash43,903.01
02-10-2022Sell9.6943,903.01
01-03-2022Cash40,024.09
12-14-2021Sell-3.1240,024.09
11-30-2021Cash41,314.49
11-29-2021Buy-1.441,314.49
11-22-2021Cash41,900.93
10-20-2021Buy5.8741,900.93
09-28-2021Cash39,578.04
09-22-2021Buy-0.2539,578.04
09-20-2021Cash39,677.09
07-28-2021Buy-0.5439,677.09
07-15-2021Cash39,891.25
07-01-2021Buy0.7339,891.25
05-12-2021Cash39,603.49
04-01-2021Buy-1.4839,603.49
03-08-2021Cash40,197.72
01-07-2021Buy-0.0540,197.72
01-06-2021Cash40,219.60
11-24-2020Buy6.0940,219.60
11-02-2020Cash37,910.64
06-15-2020Buy13.1537,910.64
06-15-2020Cash33,504.96
06-01-2020Buy-0.4733,504.96
04-22-2020Cash33,663.19
03-05-2020Sell3.233,663.19
03-05-2020Cash32,620.29
11-01-2019Buy4.9432,620.29
10-01-2019Cash31,083.42
09-05-2019Buy-1.5631,083.42
08-23-2019Cash31,574.70
08-19-2019Buy-2.6931,574.70
08-05-2019Cash32,447.60
06-13-2019Buy-0.2832,447.60
05-13-2019Cash32,537.31
02-07-2019 **Buy5.1832,537.31
01-22-2019Sell-3.7830,934.49
01-03-2019Cash32,150.43
01-02-2019Sell-1.232,150.43
12-21-2018Cash32,539.79
12-21-2018Buy-1.8632,539.79
12-03-2018Cash33,155.65
11-07-2018Buy-1.4933,155.65
11-02-2018Cash33,658.83
10-22-2018Sell-0.233,658.83
10-12-2018Cash33,725.82
10-10-2018Sell3.1833,725.82
10-09-2018Buy-1.2532,685.95
10-04-2018Sell2.3533,100.87
07-18-2018Buy1.5732,341.10
07-16-2018Cash31,839.72
07-03-2018Sell-3.1431,839.72
06-25-2018Cash32,870.42
06-20-2018Buy-1.7232,870.42
06-19-2018Cash33,447.10
06-01-2018Buy2.333,447.10
05-07-2018Cash32,695.86
05-01-2018Sell-2.7632,695.86
04-24-2018Cash33,622.48
04-10-2018Buy-1.2333,622.48
04-03-2018Sell-2.4934,041.41
03-26-2018Cash34,912.41
03-23-2018Sell-1.1734,912.41
03-19-2018Cash35,326.29
03-09-2018Buy-1.7135,326.29
02-05-2018Cash35,941.57
12-27-2017Buy1.0535,941.57
11-29-2017Cash35,566.64
09-08-2017Buy6.8135,566.64
08-21-2017Cash33,298.27
08-18-2017Buy-0.9133,298.27
08-17-2017Cash33,603.45
08-16-2017Buy-1.3333,603.45
08-10-2017Cash34,055.59
07-11-2017Buy1.7934,055.59
06-29-2017Cash33,456.13
06-15-2017Buy-1.0333,456.13
06-14-2017Cash33,802.95
04-25-2017Buy2.5633,802.95
04-20-2017Cash32,958.48
04-18-2017Sell-1.4632,958.48
01-31-2017Buy4.0533,447.07
01-30-2017Cash32,144.38
Click for all signals going back to Jul 1974
Scroll for earlier results
Tap for earlier results
* Such returns represent the rare outsized negative returns which are marked by ** in the performance tables. By employing sell stops such as 6% on NASDAQ Composite and 18% on TECL which have been suggested since we launched this site, drawdowns are minimized. Buying and holding does not reduce the inevitable deep drawdowns that come such as in 2022 so on a risk/reward basis, it is better to time the market. The model has always profited during major corrections such as in 2000-2002, late 2008, early 2020, and 2022 which not only removes the buy & hold risk, but also generates steep profits when most are losing. Some members set their own sell stops depending on their risk tolerance levels which is unique for each person.
** A material change was made to the model on Feb 9, 2019 which accounts for its improved performance. Details HERE . Let us know if you have any further questions.
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