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Market Timing Reports Archives

Categories: Crypto Report

Dr K's Crypto Picks

From Dr K: The following returns are based on taking the price at which time the report is sent. Please do your due diligence to verify that the reported price is accurate as all reports sent by VSI are time-stamped. These prices have not been formally audited. The in-house audit of my personal account showed values that corresponded with the original spreadsheet values. The trades are also documented on the blockchain as well as the exchanges- Binance, Bittrex, Bitstamp, and to a lesser degree, Kucoin, as well as on decentralized exchanges when I was allowed to buy pre-ICO cryptocurrencies before the U.S. disallowed such trading activity, though the situation has improved.

You will not find these coins on normal stock-related sites such as www.stockcharts.com, but can find more information on specific cryptocurrencies here: https://www.coingecko.com/en/coins. Keep in mind some of these are very small right now, but with potential for big growth as some have shown in prior cycles. DO YOUR DUE DILIGENCE. Even though I have done my best to vet each company, always assume some may go to ZERO, so adjust your position sizes accordingly.

MOST IMPORTANT: ALWAYS SELL ON TECHNICALS. NOTHING ELSE MATTERS IF THE CRYPTOCURRENCY HITS YOUR PERSONAL SELL STOPS. Some prefer to sell on weakness, others on strength. A number of these coins will have climax moves so take at least partial profits! This is why the % P/L column shown here is the least important. Pyramiding into winners then selling on climax tops or on clear weakness is key to driving your portfolio higher. Names such as LINK, AAVE, SNX, THETA, LUNA, and RUNE made all the difference to my performance. VSI will not advise on selling in most cases since one's sell point is determined by one's risk tolerance levels, ie, their trading personality. Every investor has unique risk tolerances so some may be more lenient in terms of when to sell, but always obey your sell stops!

The following positions are still open.
<NOTE: If you are viewing the table from a mobile phone, make sure you are viewing the table on horizontal instead of vertical view to see what $10,000 becomes.>
Coin Opening position Current Price
(11-4-2021)
% Gain/Loss
as of 11-4-2021
Theta (THETA)
reported on 3/1/19
long
| $0.148
7.7 5,102.70%
Chainlink (LINK)
reported on 4/2/19
long
| $0.582
30.7 5,174.91%
Bitcoin (BTC)
reported on 8/3/19
long
| $10810
61401 468.00%
Cosmos (ATOM)
reported on 1/21/20
long
| $4.71
37.2 689.81%
Terra (LUNA)
reported on 7/25/20
long
| $0.341
51.5 15,015.94%
Kusama (KSM)
reported on 7/25/20
long
| $12.79
436 3,308.91%
Thorchain (RUNE)
reported on 8/8/20
long
| $0.68
14.5 2,032.35%
Serum (SRM)
reported on 9/2/20
long
| $3.28
8.1 146.95%
Uniswap (UNI)
reported on 9/18/20
long
| $5.2
26 400.00%
Aave (AAVE)
reported on 11/21/20
long
| $71.8
328 356.82%
Ethereum (ETH)
reported on 12/7/20
long
| $594
4522 661.28%
1inch.exchange (1INCH)
reported on 1/31/21
long
| $4.91
4.5 -8.35%
Polkadot (DOT)
reported on 2/6/21
long
| $20.1
54.2 169.65%
Binance (BNB)
reported on 4/5/21
long
| $364
558 53.30%
Axie Infinity (AXS)
reported on 8/10/21
long
| $51.57
148.4 187.76%
Sandbox (SAND)
reported on 8/10/21
long
| $0.671
2.73 306.86%
Alien Worlds (TLM)
reported on 8/10/21
long
| $0.305
0.289 -5.25%
Solana (SOL)
reported on 11/4/21
long
| $246.6
246.6 0.00%
Avalanche (AVAX)
reported on 11/4/21
long
| $77.4
77.4 0.00%
Polygon (MATIC)
reported on 11/4/21
long
| $1.93
1.93 0.00%
Elrond (EGLD)
reported on 11/4/21
long
| $317.7
317.7 0.00%
Enjin (ENJ)
reported on 11/4/21
long
| $2.94
2.94 0.00%
Decentraland (MANA)
reported on 11/4/21
long
| $2.5
2.5 0.00%
Iluvium (ILV)
reported on 11/4/21
long
| $1
1 0.00%
UFO Gaming * 1000 (UFO)
reported on 11/4/21
long
| $0.0195
0.0195 0.00%
Coinbase (COIN)
reported on 11/8/21
long
| $355.6
Microstrategy (MSTR)
reported on 11/8/21
long
| $866.2
Galaxy Digital Hldgs (BRPHF)
reported on 11/8/21
long
| $33.6
Marathon Digital Hldgs (MARA)
reported on 11/8/21
long
| $76.1
Hut 8 Mining (HUT)
reported on 11/8/21
long
| $15.8
Cleanspark (CLSK)
reported on 11/8/21
long
| $22.3
Bitfarms (BITF)
reported on 11/8/21
long
| $8.14
Immutable X (IMX)
reported on 11/10/21
long
| $4.21
Ethereum Name Service (ENS)
reported on 11/10/21
long
| $57.4

IMPORTANT: The final % gain/loss column has little meaning to performance since in practice, I typically buy an outperforming coin more than once while selling coins that lag. Note that in practice with my own account over the years, I have pyramided top performers such as ETH, AAVE, SNX, YFI, LINK, ENJ, BNB, and a few other profitable coins because their price action confirmed their fundamentals, thus I am overall up quadruple digit percentages, well outpacing most all stock and crypto portfolios, since Jun-2017. The key was taking huge profits in Jan-2018 then doing very little for the rest of the year. This is my signature style. KPMG did an audit on my stock account and showed I went to 100% cash in Mar-2000, 3 days off the top, then stayed mostly all in cash until Mar-2003. My Market Direction Model has been massively helpful in stocks as have my metrics in timing cryptocurrencies. My risk profile is therefore far less despite my record breaking upsides. Other coins I only bought in small size such as NAS, NMR, and MCO, or did not buy at all such as DMT and MKR, so the profits made in BNB and profits made so far in my other holdings such as LINK, LEND, and ENJ far outweigh the small losses. Over time, the organic effect is always a concentration of capital into the better performing coins with the aim to beat out bitcoin by large amounts such as I've done in past bull markets such as in 2013 and 2017, in bear markets such as in 2018, and now again since 2019. If a coin lags within the context of its chart over a sufficient period, I cut the position by at least half. This way, capital is force fed into the strongest names. In crypto, strength begets strength.

Since bitcoin is the coin to beat over any given cycle, buying the right names takes much in-depth analysis. The risk/reward in cryptocurrencies is like no other. During bull runs, 10-fold gains are achievable while the rare 100-fold gain is possible. If you are sitting on 9 coins that die, and 1 coin is a 10-bagger, you still break even. In practice, since there is still a high degree of correlation between the best alt coins and bitcoin, odds favor more 10-baggers than zero-baggers as long as the fundamentals are on your side.

In the late 90s, dot-coms had a huge run due to institutions piling on board. The crypto space has yet to have this occur as 2017 was driven by retail money. In the current bull market, it is highly likely institutions will be a significant factor in the current crypto bull. We are 19 months into the bull market (as of June 28, 2020) with bitcoin having bottomed in Dec-2018, so another year or two of bull activity in bitcoin and the top alt coins is certainly possible given the numerous tailwinds which I have discussed in prior reports as well as the guiding light of history.

My metrics have called every major top & bottom in bitcoin since 2011 (real-time since 2013) within a few weeks of the top. The major signals come rarely but since the space remains relatively clean, sitting tight during bull markets in the right names is key to making big money. As one example, in the bear market of 2018, I was still up that year while the median performing crypto hedge fund lost -46% (PwC).

Nevertheless, DO YOUR DUE DILIGENCE ON ANY COMPANY IN WHICH YOU INVEST. ASSUME A COMPANY CAN GO TO ZERO.

MOST IMPORTANT: ALWAYS SELL ON TECHNICALS. NOTHING ELSE MATTERS IF THE CRYPTOCURRENCY HITS YOUR PERSONAL SELL STOPS. Some prefer to sell on weakness, others on strength. A number of these coins will have climax moves so take at least partial profits! This is why the % P/L column shown here is the least important. Pyramiding into winners then selling on climax tops or on clear weakness is key to driving your portfolio higher. Names such as LINK, AAVE, SNX, THETA, LUNA, and RUNE made all the difference to my performance. VSI will not advise on selling in most cases since one's sell point is determined by one's risk tolerance levels, ie, their trading personality. Every investor has unique risk tolerances so some may be more lenient in terms of when to sell, but always obey your sell stops!

Dr K's Podcast on youtube's Datadash (the most subscribed broadcaster in blockchain at 300,000+ subscribers)
Dr K's Presentation at Moontec in Tallinn, Estonia
Dr K's interview on why bitcoin is a tool for freeing humanity from legalized Ponzi schemes ie quantitative easing all the while dressed up as a get-rich-quick Ponzi scheme.
Showing 222 reports published between January 1st 2018 and November 29th 2021.
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Market Lab Report - A New Take on Bitcoin Maximalists; Blockchain the Antidote to Authoritarianism; Biggest Threat to Bitcoin
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Crypto Report - IMX ENS - Welcome to Web3
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23 Sep 2021, 05:47
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10 Sep 2021, 07:30
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Market Lab Report - BTC feasting on gold; End of Fiat?; Decentralization of political power
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23 Aug 2021, 09:55
Crypto Report - Ethereum’s EIP-1559 Launch Update
13 Aug 2021, 07:12
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10 Aug 2021, 10:21
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10 Aug 2021, 06:37
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06 Aug 2021, 08:25
Market Lab Report - TLDR: The IMF is full of @#$%
03 Aug 2021, 05:44
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22 Jul 2021, 08:33
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20 Jul 2021, 05:05
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19 Jul 2021, 14:05
Crypto Report - Black swans?
22 Jun 2021, 05:23
Market Lab Report - In Centralized Finance We Distrust
10 Jun 2021, 08:44
Crypto Report - Brief update on Bitcoin becoming even more anti-fragile
09 Jun 2021, 07:04
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31 May 2021, 05:51
Market Lab Report - Bitcoin Recovery?
23 May 2021, 08:38
Crypto Report - NOT A BIG DEAL: Bitcoin's 21-week exponential moving average
21 May 2021, 09:49
Crypto Report - My Talk Transcript on the Health of the Bitcoin Market along with the Mayor of London, CEO of AAVE, et al
21 May 2021, 09:43
Market Lab Report - Errata on Bitcoin's Energy Usage QED
21 May 2021, 08:22
Market Lab Report - Bitcoin's Energy Usage QED
15 May 2021, 16:01
Market Lab Report - Bitcoin in trouble?
14 May 2021, 07:06
Market Lab Report - Bitcoin’s Carbon Footprint vs. Elon
14 May 2021, 04:29
Market Lab Report - The Half-Life of Bitcoin is ∞
13 May 2021, 15:34
Market Lab Report - FAQs re: Bitcoin Energy Consumption/Elon
09 May 2021, 09:01
Market Lab Report - QE ∞ : $6 Trillion in Spending Fuels QEndless, Bitcoin, Stocks, Bonds, Real Estate
04 May 2021, 02:57
Market Lab Report - Bitcoin Bull Market Over?
24 Apr 2021, 03:46
Market Lab Report - Is Hyperinflation Around the Corner?
18 Apr 2021, 11:44
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18 Apr 2021, 10:24
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18 Apr 2021, 09:40
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05 Apr 2021, 09:22
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03 Apr 2021, 10:37
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27 Feb 2021, 12:27
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21 Feb 2021, 08:08
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15 Feb 2021, 12:01
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10 Feb 2021, 12:32
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