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Market Timing Reports Archives

Categories: Crypto Report

Dr K's Crypto Picks

From Dr K: The following returns are based on taking the price at which time the report is sent. Please do your due diligence to verify that the reported price is accurate as all reports sent by VSI are time-stamped. These prices have not been formally audited. The in-house audit of my personal account showed values that corresponded with the original spreadsheet values. The trades are also documented on the blockchain as well as the exchanges- Binance, Bittrex, Bitstamp, and to a lesser degree, Kucoin, as well as on decentralized exchanges when I was allowed to buy pre-ICO cryptocurrencies before the U.S. disallowed such trading activity, though the situation has improved.

You will not find these coins on normal stock-related sites such as www.stockcharts.com, but can find more information on specific cryptocurrencies here: https://www.coingecko.com/en/coins. Keep in mind some of these are very small right now but with potential for big growth as some have shown in prior cycles. DO YOUR DUE DILIGENCE. Even though I have done my best to vet each company, always assume some may go to ZERO, so adjust your position sizes accordingly.

MOST IMPORTANT: ALWAYS SELL ON TECHNICALS. NOTHING ELSE MATTERS IF THE CRYPTOCURRENCY HITS YOUR PERSONAL SELL STOPS. Some prefer to sell on weakness, others on strength. A number of these coins will have climax moves so take at least partial profits! This is why the % P/L column shown here is the least important. Pyramiding into winners then selling on climax tops or on clear weakness is key to driving your portfolio higher. Names such as LINK, AAVE, SNX, THETA, LUNA, and RUNE made all the difference to my performance. VSI will not advise on selling in most cases since one's sell point is determined by one's risk tolerance levels, ie, their trading personality. Every investor has unique risk tolerances so some may be more lenient in terms of when to sell, but always obey your sell stops!

The following positions are still open.
<NOTE: If you are viewing the table from a mobile phone, make sure you are viewing the table on horizontal instead of vertical view to see what $10,000 becomes.>
Coin Opening position Current Price
(3-7-2024)
% Gain/Loss
as of 3-7-2024
Verasity (VRA)
reported on 11/24/23
long
| $0.0075
0.0134 78.13%
MX (MX)
reported on 11/24/23
long
| $3.02
2.97 -1.66%
Conflux (CFX)
reported on 11/24/23
long
| $0.159
0.32 101.26%
Iluvium (ILV)
reported on 12/1/23
long
| $108
116 7.41%
Gala Games (GALA)
reported on 12/1/23
long
| $0.0255
0.043 68.63%
Immutable X (IMX)
reported on 12/1/23
long
| $1.38
3.26 136.23%
The Root Network (ROOT)
reported on 12/8/23
long
| $0.046
0.109 136.96%
Constellation (DAG)
reported on 12/8/23
long
| $0.055
0.066 20.00%
Beam (BEAM)
reported on 12/9/23
long
| $0.0154
0.039 153.25%
Sidus (SIDUS)
reported on 12/9/23
long
| $0.008
0.0056 -30.00%
Bigtime (BIGTIME)
reported on 12/9/23
long
| $0.555
0.47 -15.32%
Inspect (INSP)
reported on 12/9/23
long
| $0.265
0.28 5.66%
Fetch.ai (FET)
reported on 12/12/23
long
| $0.54
2.72 403.70%
Bittensor (TAO)
reported on 12/12/23
long
| $325
730 124.62%
Ronin (RON)
reported on 12/12/23
long
| $1.62
2.89 78.40%
Nakamoto (NAKA)
reported on 12/12/23
long
| $1.82
2.41 32.42%
Bytes (BYTES)
reported on 12/12/23
long
| $0.0071
0.0025 -64.79%
Stacks (STX)
reported on 12/29/23
long
| $1.43
2.81 96.50%
Ethereum (ETH)
reported on 12/29/23
long
| $2355
3776 60.34%
Render (RNDR)
reported on 12/29/23
long
| $4.61
9.66 109.54%

IMPORTANT: The final % gain/loss column has little meaning to performance since in practice, I typically buy an outperforming coin more than once while selling coins that lag. Note that in practice with my own account over the years, I have pyramided top performers such as ETH, AAVE, SNX, YFI, LINK, ENJ, BNB, and a few other profitable coins because their price action confirmed their fundamentals. The key to outperforming in crypto is market timing. I was mostly out of the market in 2018 and short in 2022, two devastating years for those on the long side. We can go back to the hellacious bear of 2000-2002. KPMG did an audit on my stock account and showed I went to 100% cash in Mar-2000, 3 days off the top, then stayed mostly all in cash until Mar-2003. My Market Direction Model has been massively helpful in stocks as have my metrics and macros in timing cryptocurrencies. My risk profile is therefore far less. Other coins I only bought in small size such as NAS, NMR, and MCO, or did not buy at all such as DMT and MKR, so the profits made in BNB and profits made in my other holdings such as LINK, LEND, and ENJ far outweigh the small losses. Over time, the organic effect is always a concentration of capital into the better performing coins with the aim to beat out bitcoin by large amounts such as I've done in past bull markets such as in 2013 and 2017, in bear markets such as in 2018, and now again since 2019. If a coin lags within the context of its chart over a sufficient period, I cut the position by at least half. This way, capital is force fed into the strongest names. In crypto, strength begets strength.

Since bitcoin is the coin to beat over any given cycle, buying the right names takes much in-depth analysis. The risk/reward in cryptocurrencies is like no other. During bull runs, 10-fold gains are achievable while the rare 100-fold gain is possible. If you are sitting on 9 coins that die, and 1 coin is a 10-bagger, you still break even. In practice, since there is still a high degree of correlation between the best alt coins and bitcoin, odds favor more 10-baggers than zero-baggers as long as the fundamentals are on your side.

In the late 90s, dot-coms had a huge run due to institutions piling on board. The crypto space has yet to have this occur as 2017 was driven by retail money. In the current bull market, it is highly likely institutions will be a significant factor in the current crypto bull. We are 19 months into the bull market (as of June 28, 2020) with bitcoin having bottomed in Dec-2018, so another year or two of bull activity in bitcoin and the top alt coins is certainly possible given the numerous tailwinds which I have discussed in prior reports as well as the guiding light of history.

My metrics have called every major top & bottom in bitcoin since 2011 (real-time since 2013) within a few weeks of the top. The major signals come rarely but since the space remains relatively clean, sitting tight during bull markets in the right names is key to making big money. As one example, in the bear market of 2018, I was still up that year while the median performing crypto hedge fund lost -46% (PwC).

Nevertheless, DO YOUR DUE DILIGENCE ON ANY COMPANY IN WHICH YOU INVEST. ASSUME A COMPANY CAN GO TO ZERO.

MOST IMPORTANT: ALWAYS SELL ON TECHNICALS. NOTHING ELSE MATTERS IF THE CRYPTOCURRENCY HITS YOUR PERSONAL SELL STOPS. Some prefer to sell on weakness, others on strength. A number of these coins will have climax moves so take at least partial profits! This is why the % P/L column shown here is the least important. Pyramiding into winners then selling on climax tops or on clear weakness is key to driving your portfolio higher. Names such as LINK, AAVE, SNX, THETA, LUNA, and RUNE made all the difference to my performance. VSI will not advise on selling in most cases since one's sell point is determined by one's risk tolerance levels, ie, their trading personality. Every investor has unique risk tolerances so some may be more lenient in terms of when to sell, but always obey your sell stops!

Dr K's Podcast on youtube's Datadash (the most subscribed broadcaster in blockchain at 300,000+ subscribers)
Dr K's Presentation at Moontec in Tallinn, Estonia
Dr K's interview on why bitcoin is a tool for freeing humanity from legalized Ponzi schemes ie quantitative easing all the while dressed up as a get-rich-quick Ponzi scheme.
Showing 309 reports published between January 1st 2018 and July 20th 2024.
12 Dec 2023, 04:40
Crypto Report - FET, TAO, RON, NAKA, BYTES
09 Dec 2023, 13:29
Crypto Report - BEAM, INSP, SIDUS, BIGTIME
08 Dec 2023, 14:28
Crypto Report - DAG, ROOT
01 Dec 2023, 13:24
Crypto Report - Gaming sector - ILV, GALA, IMX
24 Nov 2023, 11:05
Crypto Report - MX, CFX, VRA
27 Oct 2023, 07:38
Market Lab Report - Yield curve inversion history; Stealth liquidity for how long; Bitcoin spot ETF
12 Oct 2023, 04:02
Market Lab Report - Markets, interest rates, liquidity, and the dead cat bounce
29 Sep 2023, 05:04
Market Lab Report - Shorting stocks and crypto; triple threat
20 Sep 2023, 12:01
Market Lab Report - Inflationary oil; crypto shorts
07 Sep 2023, 06:36
Market Lab Report - BRICS; banking woes; shorting opportunities
31 Aug 2023, 04:15
Market Lab Report - Markets; crypto regulations; shorting crypto
10 Aug 2023, 05:06
Market Lab Report - Today's CPI is potentially pivotal for AI-meme stocks and cryptocurrencies
04 Aug 2023, 05:09
Market Lab Report - Crypto bulls; FedNow's CBDC; GOOG vs Web3
28 Jul 2023, 03:47
Market Lab Report - Generative AI impacts most everything; Market talk
20 Jul 2023, 06:02
Market Lab Report - China on crypto; AI meme rockets; UK inflation calming
13 Jul 2023, 16:08
Market Lab Report - Diminishing inflation, Bitcoin lacks juice, liquidity issues, and AI stocks
01 Jul 2023, 08:36
Market Lab Report - Bitcoin on the rise
09 Jun 2023, 05:08
Market Lab Report - Market timing; Liquidity vs markets; Higher rates vs inflation; SEC vs crypto
02 Jun 2023, 12:38
Market Lab Report - Bitcoin miner HUT
01 Jun 2023, 10:00
Market Lab Report - On rip tide markets, the debt ceiling, and lack of crypto liquidity + A legend passes
25 May 2023, 08:26
Market Lab Report - Higher rates ahead? On liquidity vs. market direction; Lopsided markets
20 May 2023, 06:07
Market Lab Report - Black swans; DXY direction; Short interest bullish for BTC; Major avg internals poor; Inflation sticky
12 May 2023, 06:14
Market Lab Report - Crypto regs/Markets/AI; Macro picture; Commercial real estate the next domino?
05 May 2023, 08:54
Crypto Report - Bitcoin liquidation map; direction of major stock market averages and Bitcoin indecisive
03 May 2023, 11:50
Market Lab Report - Banking woes; Crypto miners
19 Apr 2023, 16:40
Crypto Report - On Gary Gensler's testimony against cryptocurrencies
11 Apr 2023, 06:39
Crypto Report - Bitcoin metrics bullish but keep stops tight
16 Mar 2023, 05:34
Market Lab Report - Bank failures the black swan?
14 Mar 2023, 10:00
Crypto Report - New names
23 Feb 2023, 09:46
Market Lab Report - Schizo markets
17 Feb 2023, 06:15
Market Lab Report - Money tightening concerns but global M2 is increasing; unemployment paradox
09 Feb 2023, 18:11
Market Lab Report - What's driving this rally?
02 Feb 2023, 05:23
Market Lab Report - End of the bear market?
31 Jan 2023, 05:17
Market Lab Report - On central bank digital currencies (CBDCs)
20 Jan 2023, 05:54
Market Lab Report - Markets are highly predictable: Bitcoin $6900 floor? NASDAQ Composite 8100 (-50%) floor?
22 Dec 2022, 05:43
Market Lab Report - GBTC/ETHE Grayscale Issues; Markets
15 Dec 2022, 07:20
Market Lab Report - The fed will break this
08 Dec 2022, 04:54
Market Lab Report - Stock market leads 3-mo Treasurys leads Fed Funds Rate
04 Dec 2022, 06:51
Market Lab Report - When will the bear market end?
04 Dec 2022, 05:11
Market Lab Report - 3 market scenarios revisited
25 Nov 2022, 05:00
Market Lab Report - Freedom is the use case; Markets
22 Nov 2022, 07:15
Market Lab Report - Three market scenarios; Bubble must be unwound unless...
04 Nov 2022, 06:26
Market Lab Report - On rate hikes...
28 Oct 2022, 13:12
Market Lab Report - On crypto and unprecedented tipping points: Draconian tightening conditions vs. exponential utility
27 Oct 2022, 05:22
Market Lab Report - Only 3 times in history have stocks and bonds done this
13 Oct 2022, 05:11
Market Lab Report - Bitcoin's answer to the George Orwell Show; How many times can the Fed get it wrong?!
06 Oct 2022, 05:04
Market Lab Report - ESG should stand for Export Soviet Gas; FFR peaks into crises
30 Sep 2022, 03:32
Market Lab Report - Global unrest; Supply-side inflation
22 Sep 2022, 07:26
Market Lab Report - Outrageous Raging Inflation; #metoo #sextoo #drugstoo
15 Sep 2022, 05:37
Market Lab Report - 1918-1922 compared to today's market; Soaring inflation
08 Sep 2022, 11:05
Market Lab Report - The Fed's 3 options; QE5?
01 Sep 2022, 06:12
Market Lab Report - Centralization destroys innovation; the fed cannot control supply-driven inflation
18 Aug 2022, 04:29
Market Lab Report - Why the Fed will have to keep printing; Do markets have to retest lows?
28 Jul 2022, 07:12
Market Lab Report - Dead bat bounces vs. Fed turning dovish
21 Jul 2022, 20:58
Market Lab Report - How this time is and is not different
14 Jul 2022, 12:19
Market Lab Report - When will the fed halt or reverse hikes? Long term interest rate history; 100-year bonds?
07 Jul 2022, 10:21
Market Lab Report - Stagflation when?
30 Jun 2022, 06:25
Market Lab Report - Why land in the metaverse is valuable; Inventory-to-sales ratio may force Fed to halt hikes
26 Jun 2022, 05:36
Market Lab Report - This time is different
15 Jun 2022, 15:58
Market Lab Report - When will cryptos and stocks find their major lows?
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